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Premiership
Dundee
S S T U T
2–1
Full-time
Motherwell
T U S T T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

39% Possession 61%
11 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 9
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee 6. · Motherwell 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 +11 +12.2 18
2 Rangers 6 4 1 1 +3 +2.3 13
3 Hearts 6 4 0 2 +6 +1.3 12
4 St Mirren 6 3 1 2 +2 +0.8 10
5 Motherwell 6 2 2 2 -1 +2.4 8
6 Dundee 6 2 1 3 +1 -2.2 7
7 ST Johnstone 6 2 1 3 -1 +0.2 7
8 Aberdeen 6 2 1 3 -1 -3.5 7
9 Hibernian 6 2 0 4 -3 +1.2 6
10 Falkirk 6 1 2 3 -3 -4.4 5
11 Dundee United 6 1 2 3 -5 -1.3 5
12 Kilmarnock 6 1 1 4 -9 -8.9 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee Motherwell
Joe Westley ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
22′
1–0 Joe Westley
23′
2–0 Bradley·Fink
Ryan Astley
40′
44′
Alex·Lowry 2–1
Tom Sparrow
Half-time 2–1
Joseph Bevan 🔁
↦ Jack Moorhouse
61′
65′
🔁 Dylan Williams
↦ Emmanuel Longelo
67′
🟨 Dylan Williams
Brad Halliday 🔁
↦ Callum Jones
71′
Bobby Wales 🔁
↦ Bradley·Fink
72′
76′
🔁 Regan Charles-Cook
↦ Sebastian Palmer-Houlden
77′
🔁 Jardell Kanga
↦ Ibrahim Said
Idris Odutayo 🔁
↦ Joe Westley
86′
86′
🔁 Willy Gabriel Vogt
↦ Tawanda Maswanhise
86′
🔁 Eythor Bjørgolfsson
↦ Alex·Lowry
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Dundee

4-2-3-1
1 O. Goodman G
7 D. Wright M
4 R. Astley D
5 O. Bevan D
12 I. Samuels D
28 C. Jones M
48 E. Hamilton M
16 J. Moorhouse M
19 J. Westley F
14 A. Forrest M
21 B. Fink F
Bench (9)
52 C. Oosenbrugh
9 B. Wales
6 M. Akinmboni
27 J. Bevan
60 R. Bland
2 B. Halliday
47 A. Leiper
13 K. O'Hara
3 I. Odutayo

Coach: S. Pressley

Motherwell

4-2-3-1
1 A. Paulsen G
7 T. Sparrow M
3 J. Girdwood-Reich D
5 M. Moormann D
45 M. Emmanuel M
8 L. Fadinger M
71 J. Hodge M
47 S. Palmer-Houlden F
11 A. Lowry M
19 I. Said F
18 Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise F
Bench (9)
17 R. Charles-Cook
13 J. Kanga
4 Jamie Knight-Lebel
63 D. Levitt
21 M. Connelly
2 S. O'Donnell
77 W. Vogt
20 Dylan Williams
15 E. Björgólfs­son

Coach: Alfred Johansson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,00
U
3,48
B
2,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,20
U1,5
4,10
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,11
O3,5
2,75
U3,5 ✓
1,40
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,54
BLS nei
2,30

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.