The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Dundee
Motherwell
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Celtic
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | +12.2 | 18 |
| 2 |
Rangers
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | +2.3 | 13 |
| 3 |
Hearts
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +6 | +1.3 | 12 |
| 4 |
St Mirren
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | +0.8 | 10 |
| 5 |
Motherwell
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +2.4 | 8 |
| 6 |
Dundee
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | -2.2 | 7 |
| 7 |
ST Johnstone
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +0.2 | 7 |
| 8 |
Aberdeen
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -3.5 | 7 |
| 9 |
Hibernian
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -3 | +1.2 | 6 |
| 10 |
Falkirk
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | -4.4 | 5 |
| 11 |
Dundee United
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | -1.3 | 5 |
| 12 |
Kilmarnock
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | -8.9 | 4 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
O. Goodman
G
D. Wright
M
R. Astley
D
O. Bevan
D
I. Samuels
D
C. Jones
M
E. Hamilton
M
J. Moorhouse
M
J. Westley
F
A. Forrest
M
B. Fink
F
Coach: S. Pressley
A. Paulsen
G
T. Sparrow
M
J. Girdwood-Reich
D
M. Moormann
D
M. Emmanuel
M
L. Fadinger
M
J. Hodge
M
S. Palmer-Houlden
F
A. Lowry
M
I. Said
F
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
F
Coach: Alfred Johansson
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Hearts
Dundee
Dundee
ST Johnstone
Dundee
Hibernian
Dundee United
Dundee
Dundee
Aberdeen
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.