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Super League
Referee: L Cibelli
Luzern
S U S U T
5–1
Full-time
Grasshoppers
T S U S T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Grasshoppers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
4,0
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
75%
63%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
3,6
3,9
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,1
2,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%
23 Shots 21
11 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 9
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 8. · Grasshoppers 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lugano 8 7 1 0 +16 +2.5 22
2 Sion 8 6 0 2 +9 +4.2 18
3 Young Boys 8 4 4 0 +12 +5.5 16
4 Basel 8 4 1 3 +2 -0.5 13
5 Servette 8 3 1 4 -1 +1.0 10
6 St. Gallen 8 3 1 4 -5 +4.2 10
7 Zurich 8 3 1 4 -6 -5.0 10
8 Luzern 8 2 3 3 -5 -2.8 9
9 Grasshoppers 8 2 2 4 -7 +3.1 8
10 Thun 8 2 1 5 -9 -5.2 7
11 Vaduz 8 2 0 6 -2 -3.6 6
12 Lausanne 8 1 3 4 -4 -3.4 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Luzern Grasshoppers
1–0 Tyron Owusu
Matteo Di Giusto
5′
8′
🟨 Peter Zeidler
2–0 Oscar Kabwit Tshikomb
Tyron Owusu
9′
10′
🟨 Amir Abrashi
Leonardo Bertone 🟨
27′
36′
🟨 Nico Rissi
45′
🔁 Samuele Bengondo
↦ Giotto Morandi
Half-time 2–0
55′
🔁 Kenzo Goudmijn
↦ Óscar Clemente
3–0 Daniel Mikołajewski
60′
61′
🔁 Denis Sahin
↦ Manex Gibelalde
61′
🔁 Lee Young-Jun
↦ Nikolas Marcel Cristiano Muci
Andrejs Cigaņiks 🟨
68′
Bongeli Faveurdi Beenga 🔁
↦ Oscar Kabwit Tshikomb
72′
Levin Winkler 🔁
↦ Mio Zimmermann
72′
4–0 Daniel Mikołajewski
Bongeli Faveurdi Beenga
73′
76′
Samuele Bengondo 4–1
Lee Young-Jun
Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira 🔁
↦ Matteo Di Giusto
77′
Sandro Wyss 🔁
↦ Tyron Owusu
77′
82′
🔁 John Hilton
↦ Nico Rissi
5–1 Daniel Mikołajewski
Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira
86′
Nando Toggenburger 🔁
↦ Daniel Mikołajewski
88′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Luzern

4-2-2-2
30 K. Letica G
22 R. Fernandes D
5 S. Knežević D
46 B. Freimann D
14 A. Cigaņiks D
80 Mio Zimmermann M
6 L. Bertone M
24 T. Owusu M
11 M. Di Giusto M
19 D. Mikołajewski F
16 O. tshikomb F
Bench (9)
1 S. Simoni
21 L. Lüthi
10 Lucas Ferreira
29 Levin Winkler
27 L. Villiger
17 Sandro Wyss
9 A. Grbić
18 Bongeli Faveurdi Beenga
15 N. Toggenburger

Coach: J. Portmann

Grasshoppers

4-3-3
1 M. Hübel G
28 S. Stroscio D
44 B. Pllana D
58 Yannik Bettkober D
57 Nico Rissi D
6 A. Abrashi M
66 Manex Gibelalde M
10 Óscar Clemente M
11 G. Morandi F
9 N. Muci F
17 S. Krasniqi F
Bench (9)
25 J. Hilton
55 D. Papic
56 D. Sahin
24 K. Goudmijn
18 Lee Young-Jun
60 S. Bengondo
34 A. Arigoni
4 L. Mikulic
71 J. Hammel

Coach: P. Zeidler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,67
U
4,33
B
4,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,06
U1,5
7,50
O2,5 ✓
1,29
U2,5
3,30
O3,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5
1,97
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,34
BLS nei
3,00

Referee

L Cibelli · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.