← Match Finder
Championship
Referee: Tim Robinson
Stoke
T S S U S
2–1
Full-time
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stoke Sheffield United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
71%
57%
Both score Ø 64%
71%
57%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
12 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stoke 13. · Sheffield United 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 West Ham 7 4 2 1 +11 +1.2 14
2 Southampton 7 4 2 1 +10 +3.3 14
3 Swansea 7 4 2 1 +6 +1.2 14
4 Middlesbrough 7 4 2 1 +4 +3.2 14
5 West Brom 7 4 2 1 +3 -2.8 14
6 Bristol City 8 4 1 3 -1 -3.2 13
7 QPR 7 3 3 1 +3 +2.6 12
8 Charlton 7 3 3 1 -1 -5.0 12
9 Wolves 6 3 2 1 +4 +4.5 11
10 Lincoln 7 3 2 2 +0 -0.6 11
11 Birmingham 7 2 4 1 +1 +1.3 10
12 Millwall 7 3 1 3 +0 +2.5 10
13 Stoke 7 3 1 3 +0 -3.8 10
14 Norwich 7 3 0 4 +0 -0.3 9
15 Sheffield United 7 2 3 2 -1 -1.7 9
16 Blackburn 7 2 2 3 +0 -2.1 8
17 Watford 8 2 2 4 -3 -2.6 8
18 Portsmouth 6 2 1 3 -1 -0.2 7
19 Wrexham 7 1 4 2 -4 +1.4 7
20 Bolton 7 2 1 4 -5 -1.7 7
21 Cardiff 7 0 4 3 -4 +3.0 4
22 Derby 7 1 1 5 -7 -1.7 4
23 Preston 7 1 0 6 -7 +2.0 3
24 Burnley 7 0 3 4 -8 -0.2 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stoke Sheffield United
10′
🟨 Kalvin Phillips
Justin Devenny 🟨
32′
Maksym Taloverov 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
51′
Kalvin Phillips 0–1
54′
🟨 Oliver Arblaster
Ethan Galbraith 🟨
63′
Eric Junior Bocat 🟨
63′
63′
🟨 Liam Kitching
George Hirst 🔁
↦ Lamine Cissé
64′
Sam Gallagher 🔁
↦ El Hadji Soumare
64′
Junior Tchamadeu 🔁
↦ Maksym Taloverov
65′
67′
🔁 Thomas Cannon
↦ Oliver Arblaster
69′
🟨 Rhys Norrington-Davies
1–1 Jack Mcglynn
Junior Tchamadeu
78′
80′
🔁 Jamie Shackleton
↦ Hamza Choudhury
80′
🔁 Tahith Chong
↦ Ben Brereton
80′
🔁 Jordan Ayew
↦ Patrick Bamford
Luca Bombino 🔁
↦ Eric Junior Bocat
80′
Million·Manhoef 🔁
↦ Justin Devenny
80′
2–1 Sam Gallagher
Ethan Galbraith
86′
88′
🔁 Romelle Donovan
↦ Jamal Baptiste
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Stoke

3-4-3
1 V. Johansson G
16 B. Wilmot D
40 M. Talovierov D
5 L. Graham D
2 B. Johnson M
27 El Hadji Djibril Soumaré M
8 E. Galbraith M
17 E. Bocat M
7 J. McGlynn F
11 L. Cissé F
13 J. Devenny F
Bench (9)
24 J. Griffiths
23 B. Gibson
22 J. Tchamadeu
21 L. Bombino
19 T. Rigo
42 M. Manhoef
4 B. Pearson
15 G. Hirst
20 S. Gallagher

Coach: M. Robins

Sheffield United

4-4-2
1 M. Cooper G
8 H. Choudhury D
5 J. Tanganga D
15 L. Kitching D
30 R. Norrington-Davies D
33 J. Baptiste M
42 Sydie Peck M
4 O. Arblaster M
27 K. Phillips M
45 P. Bamford F
22 B. Brereton F
Bench (9)
11 R. Donovan
10 J. Ayew
9 T. Cannon
7 J. Rothwell
19 T. Chong
25 M. McGuinness
2 M. Doherty
16 J. Shackleton
17 A. Davies

Coach: Chris Wilder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,26
U
3,29
B
3,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,30
U1,5
3,34
O2,5 ✓
1,89
U2,5
1,85
O3,5
3,08
U3,5 ✓
1,32
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,68
BLS nei
2,03

Referee

Tim Robinson · 110 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.