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Taça de Portugal

Castro Daire

T T

0–1

Full-time

Portimonense

T S T S T

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castro Daire Portimonense

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

2,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-2,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+9	3
2	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Alcochetense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Portel	1	1	0	0	+8	3
5	Guarda	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	UD da Serra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Sacavenense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Mação	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Varzim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Bragança	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Oliveirense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Madalena	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Academica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Os Limianos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Juventude Évora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Aljustrelense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	CF Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Vitória de Sernache	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Santo Antonio	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Fátima	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Naval 1893	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Paredes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Alcains	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Maria da Fonte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Fazendense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Cinfães	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Celoricense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Real	2	1	0	1	-2	3
43	Beira-Mar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Rebordosa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Alpendorada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Camacha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Montalegre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Ponte da Barca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Mortágua	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Florgrade	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	São João Ver	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Maia Lidador	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Vila Meã	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Atlético Malveira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Sousense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Uniao Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Mocarriense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Régua	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Espinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Pevidem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Caldas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	AD Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Ermesinde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	SC Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Correlhã	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	União Montemor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Pacos de Brandao	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Nazarenos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
87	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
88	Penalva Castelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
89	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	Uniao de Pombal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
91	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
92	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-5	0
93	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-6	0
94	Minas de Argozelo	1	0	0	1	-8	0
95	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
96	Messejanense	1	0	0	1	-8	0
97	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+9	3
2	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Alcochetense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	UD da Serra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Sacavenense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Mação	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Varzim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Oliveirense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	CF Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Fátima	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Alcains	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Maria da Fonte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Fazendense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Cinfães	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Celoricense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Beira-Mar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Rebordosa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Montalegre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Florgrade	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Maia Lidador	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Atlético Malveira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Régua	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Caldas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	AD Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Ermesinde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	SC Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Real	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Correlhã	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	União Montemor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Nazarenos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
45	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
46	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
47	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
48	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-6	0
49	Messejanense	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Portel	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Guarda	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Bragança	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Madalena	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Academica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Os Limianos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Juventude Évora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Aljustrelense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Vitória de Sernache	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Santo Antonio	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Naval 1893	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Paredes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Alpendorada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Camacha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Ponte da Barca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Mortágua	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	São João Ver	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Vila Meã	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Sousense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Uniao Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Mocarriense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Espinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Pevidem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Pacos de Brandao	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	Penalva Castelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
44	Uniao de Pombal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
45	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
46	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-5	0
47	Minas de Argozelo	1	0	0	1	-8	0
48	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
49	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.