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Ligue 2
Referee: Eddy Rosier
Guingamp
S T U U S
1–3
Full-time
Red Star
U U T S S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Red Star
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

43% Possession 57%
11 Shots 24
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 10
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 23
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 10. · Red Star 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Etienne 6 5 0 1 +11 15
2 Reims 7 3 4 0 +6 13
3 Montpellier 7 3 3 1 +1 12
4 Red Star 6 3 2 1 +0 11
5 Nancy 7 3 1 3 +1 10
6 Annecy 7 3 1 3 +0 10
7 Sochaux 7 2 4 1 -1 10
8 Metz 6 2 3 1 +3 9
9 Dijon 7 2 3 2 +0 9
10 Guingamp 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Pau FC 7 2 2 3 +0 8
12 Dunkerque 7 2 2 3 -2 8
13 Grenoble 7 2 2 3 -3 8
14 Rodez 7 2 1 4 -2 7
15 Clermont 7 0 6 1 -2 6
16 Boulogne 6 0 5 1 -1 5
17 Laval 7 1 2 4 -6 5
18 Nantes 6 1 1 4 -5 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Red Star
Erwin Koffi 🟨
3′
Donacien Gomis 🟥
12′
Albin Demouchy 🔁
↦ Tom Ducrocq
15′
24′
Damien Durand 0–1
Islamdine Halifa
Jeovanni Dianganga 🟨
29′
38′
Jovany Ikanga A Ngele 0–2
Islamdine Halifa
Jasser Chamakh 🔁
↦ Tanguy Ahile
45′
Stanislas Kielt 🔁
↦ Teddy Andami Averlant
45′
V. Muntu Wa Mungu 🔁
↦ Tuomas Ollila
45′
Half-time 0–2
50′
🟨 Saîf-Eddine Khaoui
62′
🔁 Kémo Cissé
↦ Godson Kyeremeh
62′
🔁 Mahamadou Diawara
↦ Islamdine Halifa
62′
🔁 Samuel Renel
↦ Saîf-Eddine Khaoui
Amadou Samoura 🔁
↦ Jeovanni Dianganga
66′
1–2 Erwin Koffi
V. Muntu Wa Mungu
67′
69′
Damien Durand 1–3
Jovany Ikanga A Ngele
70′
🔁 Kevin Cabral
↦ Jovany Ikanga A Ngele
72′
🟨 Bradley Danger
79′
🔁 Idrissa Sabaly
↦ Bradley Danger
81′
🟨 Dylan Durivaux
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 Adrián Ortolá G
2 E. Koffi D
7 D. Gomis D
24 J. Dianganga D
5 T. Ollila D
11 T. Averlant M
25 T. Ducrocq M
4 D. Louiserre M
20 S. Ben Brahim M
21 T. Ahile F
22 B. Bokangu F
Bench (9)
1 T. Bartouche
23 J. Chamakh
36 A. Demouchy
18 S. Kielt
31 J. Matondo
3 J. Matumona
39 Vimoj Muntu Wa Mungu
17 A. Samoura
8 F. Da Silva

Coach: S. Ripoll

Red Star

4-2-3-1
16 G. Poussin G
2 T. Magnin D
20 D. Durivaux D
5 J. Escartin D
3 M. Huard D
19 I. Halifa M
6 B. Danger M
27 G. Kyeremeh M
10 S. Khaoui M
7 D. Durand M
23 J. Ikanga A Ngele F
Bench (9)
25 Leonardo Buta
21 Idrissa Sabaly
17 S. Renel
14 Mahamadou Diawara
9 I. Despotovic
11 K. Cissé
91 K. Cabral
1 Yanis Benchaouch Marty
4 E. Zidane

Coach: D. Perrinelle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,37
U
3,42
B ✓
2,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,22
U1,5
3,92
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,06
O3,5 ✓
2,75
U3,5
1,39
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,57
BLS nei
2,24

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.