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Premiership
Hibernian
T S T T T
1–1
Full-time
Aberdeen
T T T U S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 9
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 9. · Aberdeen 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 +11 +12.2 18
2 Rangers 6 4 1 1 +3 +2.3 13
3 Hearts 6 4 0 2 +6 +1.3 12
4 St Mirren 6 3 1 2 +2 +0.8 10
5 Motherwell 6 2 2 2 -1 +2.4 8
6 Dundee 6 2 1 3 +1 -2.2 7
7 ST Johnstone 6 2 1 3 -1 +0.2 7
8 Aberdeen 6 2 1 3 -1 -3.5 7
9 Hibernian 6 2 0 4 -3 +1.2 6
10 Falkirk 6 1 2 3 -3 -4.4 5
11 Dundee United 6 1 2 3 -5 -1.3 5
12 Kilmarnock 6 1 1 4 -9 -8.9 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian Aberdeen
17′
Kevin Nisbet 0–1
Gavin Molloy
34′
🟨 Kevin Nisbet
Half-time 0–1
59′
🟨 Jack Milne
59′
🔁 Stuart Armstrong
↦ Connor Patrick Ronan
1–1 Martin Boyle
62′
A. Major 🟨
70′
Nathan Lowe 🔁
↦ Owen Elding
72′
Ante Suto 🔁
↦ Martin Boyle
72′
74′
🔁 Ayoub Mouloua
↦ Toyosi Olusanya
Joe Newell 🔁
↦ Callum·Wright
79′
80′
🔁 Daniel Happe
↦ Jack Milne
80′
🔁 Alexander Briedl
↦ Findlay Marshall
Miguel Changa Chaiwa 🟨
84′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
1 R. Sallinger G
6 J. Kerr D
4 G. Hanley D
15 J. Iredale D
25 F. Passlack D
8 J. Mulligan M
14 M. Chaiwa M
3 A. Mayor F
17 J. McGrath M
10 M. Boyle F
7 O. Elding F
Bench (9)
19 N. Cadden
24 J. Devaney
18 T. Klidje
9 N. Lowe
11 J. Newell
35 F. Owens
22 A. Šuto
12 Alex Williams
23 C. Wright

Coach: David Gray

Aberdeen

5-3-2
27 M. Müller G
28 C. Cadden D
5 M. Knoester D
22 J. Milne D
21 G. Molloy M
24 N. Guinness-Walker D
32 A. Aremu M
40 F. Marshall M
25 C. Ronan M
20 T. Olusanya F
15 K. Nisbet F
Bench (9)
17 S. Armstrong
10 A. Briedl
2 N. Devlin
26 D. Happe
30 D. Klein
14 H. Mahou
9 A. Mouloua
11 Lewis Smith
7 Tony Yogane

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,75
U ✓
3,80
B
4,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,20
U1,5
4,10
O2,5
1,70
U2,5 ✓
2,08
O3,5
2,75
U3,5 ✓
1,40
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,65
BLS nei
2,11

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.