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Ligue 2
Referee: Karim Abed
Boulogne
T U U U U
1–2
Full-time
Nantes
T T U S T
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boulogne Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
0,8
3,2
Scored
0,3
1,2
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
0,8
3,2
Scored
0,3
1,2
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 6
5 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boulogne 16. · Nantes 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Etienne 6 5 0 1 +11 15
2 Reims 7 3 4 0 +6 13
3 Montpellier 7 3 3 1 +1 12
4 Red Star 6 3 2 1 +0 11
5 Nancy 7 3 1 3 +1 10
6 Annecy 7 3 1 3 +0 10
7 Sochaux 7 2 4 1 -1 10
8 Metz 6 2 3 1 +3 9
9 Dijon 7 2 3 2 +0 9
10 Guingamp 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Pau FC 7 2 2 3 +0 8
12 Dunkerque 7 2 2 3 -2 8
13 Grenoble 7 2 2 3 -3 8
14 Rodez 7 2 1 4 -2 7
15 Clermont 7 0 6 1 -2 6
16 Boulogne 6 0 5 1 -1 5
17 Laval 7 1 2 4 -6 5
18 Nantes 6 1 1 4 -5 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boulogne Nantes
35′
🟨 Frédéric Guilbert
Half-time 0–1
49′
Igniatius Ganago 0–1
Ibrahima Sissoko
1–1 Nolan Binet
Noah Fatar
52′
Mohamed Soumah 🔁
↦ Abdel Hbouch
53′
62′
🔁 Johann Lepenant
↦ Balthazar Pierret
62′
🔁 Antoine Joujou
↦ Mathieu Cafaro
Jonas Martin 🔁
↦ Joffrey Bultel
65′
Mathieu Mion 🟨
77′
Aurelien Platret 🔁
↦ Noah Fatar
82′
Luderic Etonde 🔁
↦ Benjamin Besic
82′
Sonny Duflos 🔁
↦ Theo Epailly
82′
83′
🔁 Louis Leroux
↦ Ryad Hachem
83′
🔁 Amin Cherni
↦ Igniatius Ganago
90′
🔁 Dehmaine Tabibou
↦ Fode Doucoure
Mathieu Mion 🟥
93′
Blondy Nna Noukeu 🟨
96′
97′
Thomas Robinet 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Boulogne

3-4-3
99 Blondy Rudolph Nna Noukeu G
18 D. Thiam D
25 A. Kerriou D
20 T. Brusco D
19 N. Binet M
14 J. Bultel M
64 T. Epailly M
29 M. Mion M
10 A. Hbouch F
17 B. Besic F
11 N. Fatar F
Bench (9)
12 J. Boyer
22 S. Duflos
13 L. Etonde
1 X. Lenogue
8 J. Martin
7 A. Nassiri
15 A. Pinot
21 A. Platret
36 M. Soumah

Coach: F. Dagneaux

Nantes

4-1-4-1
1 M. Dupé G
24 F. Guilbert D
5 L. Perrin D
4 S. Sow D
44 B. Pierret D
28 I. Sissoko M
13 F. Doucouré M
26 R. Hachem M
37 I. Ganago M
20 M. Cafaro M
27 T. Robinet F
Bench (9)
78 T. Tati
17 D. Assoumani
19 Louis Leroux
8 J. Lepenant
7 A. Joujou
75 A. Cherni
30 P. Carlgren
98 K. Amian
23 W. Younoussa

Coach: Grégory Poirier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,36
U
3,10
B ✓
2,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,36
U1,5
2,97
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,69
O3,5
3,75
U3,5 ✓
1,22
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,83
BLS nei
1,85

Referee

Karim Abed · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.