Bundesliga
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Team trends
M'gladbach
Mainz
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Match stats
Half-time score: 1–2
The table before the match M'gladbach 17. · Mainz 8. ▾
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +12 | +3.3 | 10 |
| 2 |
Freiburg
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | +1.8 | 9 |
| 3 |
Dortmund
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | +0.6 | 9 |
| 4 |
Augsburg
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | +1.6 | 7 |
| 5 |
RB Leipzig
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +6 | +2.9 | 6 |
| 6 |
Elversberg
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | -0.6 | 6 |
| 7 |
Leverkusen
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | +0.6 | 4 |
| 8 |
Mainz
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | +0.5 | 4 |
| 9 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -0.4 | 4 |
| 10 |
Werder Bremen
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1.8 | 4 |
| 11 |
Schalke 04
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1.6 | 4 |
| 12 |
FC Koln
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | +0.1 | 4 |
| 13 |
Hoffenheim
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -0.1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Stuttgart
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -3.3 | 3 |
| 15 |
Paderborn
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | -0.5 | 1 |
| 16 |
Union Berlin
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -13 | +0.4 | 1 |
| 17 |
M'gladbach
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | -2.9 | 0 |
| 18 |
Hamburg
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 | -0.6 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Match report
Line-ups
M'gladbach
3-4-2-1
M. Nicolas
G
K. Itakura
D
K. Diks
D
J. Leszczyński
D
J. Scally
M
P. Sander
M
F. Neuhaus
M
L. Ullrich
M
F. Honorat
M
H. Bolin
M
I. Lidberg
F
Bench (9)
Coach: J. Lichte
Mainz
3-5-2
A. Schwolow
G
S. Posch
D
F. Gruber
D
K. Potulski
D
A. Caci
M
Lee Jae-Sung
M
K. Sano
M
N. Amiri
M
P. Mwene
M
P. Tietz
F
S. Becker
F
Bench (9)
Coach: U. Fischer
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Recent matches
Freiburg
M'gladbach
M'gladbach
Elversberg
RB Leipzig
M'gladbach
Schott Mainz
M'gladbach
M'gladbach
Hoffenheim
Referee
Robert Hartmann · 70 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.