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Premiership

Referee: C Graham

Hearts

U U U S S

2–1

Full-time

Dundee

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Dundee

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 58%

75%

40%

Points per game

2,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

100%

20%

Both score Ø 58%

75%

40%

Average goals

3,5

2,0

Scored

2,5

1,2

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,87 xG 0,51

72% Possession 28%

27 Shots 4

7 Shots on target 1

9 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

14 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Hearts 4. · Dundee 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	5	5	0	0	+10	+12.2	15
2	St Mirren	5	3	1	1	+3	+0.8	10
3	Rangers	5	3	1	1	+2	+2.3	10
4	Hearts	4	3	0	1	+6	-0.1	9
5	Motherwell	5	2	2	1	+3	+2.4	8
6	Dundee	5	2	1	2	+2	-0.9	7
7	Hibernian	4	2	0	2	-1	+2.0	6
8	Dundee United	6	1	2	3	-5	-1.3	5
9	ST Johnstone	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.6	4
10	Aberdeen	5	1	1	3	-5	-3.5	4
11	Falkirk	5	0	2	3	-4	-4.4	2
12	Kilmarnock	5	0	1	4	-10	-8.9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	3	3	0	0	+5	+6.2	9
2	Hearts	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.1	6
3	Motherwell	2	1	1	0	+3	+2.4	4
4	Dundee	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.8	4
5	St Mirren	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.8	4
6	Aberdeen	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.2	4
7	ST Johnstone	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
8	Rangers	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.3	3
9	Dundee United	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.3	2
10	Hibernian	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.6	0
11	Falkirk	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.6	0
12	Kilmarnock	3	0	0	3	-9	-7.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rangers	3	2	1	0	+2	+1.9	7
2	Celtic	2	2	0	0	+5	+6.0	6
3	St Mirren	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.6	6
4	Hibernian	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.3	6
5	Motherwell	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.0	4
6	Hearts	2	1	0	1	+1	-2.2	3
7	Dundee	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.6	3
8	Dundee United	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.0	3
9	Falkirk	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.8	2
10	Kilmarnock	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
11	ST Johnstone	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.7	1
12	Aberdeen	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.