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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
Dundee
S T S T S
1–2
Full-time
Motherwell
U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 32%
29%
35%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
71%
71%
Both score Ø 65%
68%
62%
Average goals
3,6
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
10 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Dundee 10. · Motherwell 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 34 27 3 4 +80 84
2 Rangers 34 20 7 7 +33 67
3 Hibernian 34 14 11 9 +12 53
4 Aberdeen 34 15 8 11 -3 53
5 Dundee United 34 14 8 12 -4 50
6 St Mirren 34 12 6 16 -9 42
7 Motherwell 34 12 6 16 -18 42
8 Hearts 34 11 7 16 -2 40
9 Kilmarnock 34 10 8 16 -18 38
10 Dundee 34 10 7 17 -20 37
11 Ross County 34 9 8 17 -25 35
12 ST Johnstone 34 8 5 21 -26 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Feb -25 Motherwell – Dundee 2–1 4. Dec -24 Dundee – Motherwell 4–1 19. Oct -24 Motherwell – Dundee 0–1 6. Apr -24 Dundee – Motherwell 2–3 2. Dec -23 Motherwell – Dundee 3–3

Match report

Dundee Motherwell
1–0 A. Portales ⚽
31′
Joe Shaughnessy 🟨
37′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 T. Maswanhise
↦ H. Paton
Juan Portales ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
47′
59′
⚽ T. Sparrow 1–1
L. Miller
S. Palmer-Houlden 🔁
↦ O. Adewumi
66′
S. Fraser 🔁
↦ A. Portales
72′
77′
🔁 S. Seddon
↦ T. Sparrow
78′
ℹ️ Johnny Koutroumbis
VAR: Card upgrade
80′
🟥 Johnny Koutroumbis
81′
🔁 E. Wilson
↦ C. Slattery
C. Reilly 🔁
↦ R. Astley
85′
91′
🟨 Tawanda Maswanhise
91′
⚽ T. Maswanhise 1–2
D. Thompson
94′
🟨 Lennon Miller
94′
🔁 L. Armstrong
↦ T. Watt
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Dundee

4-3-3
31 T. Carson G
4 R. Astley D
5 J. Shaughnessy D
3 C. Robertson D
21 Z. Larkeche D
8 J. Mulligan M
29 A. Portales M
10 L. Cameron M
7 S. Tiffoney F
15 S. Murray F
11 O. Adewumi F
Bench (9)
23 S. Palmer-Houlden
26 S. Fraser
18 C. Reilly
12 I. Samuels
28 M. Sylla
20 B. Koumetio
50 A. Donnelly
1 J. McCracken
19 F. Robertson

Coach: T. Docherty

Motherwell

4-4-1-1
13 A. Oxborough G
22 J. Koutroumbis D
2 S. O'Donnell D
15 D. Casey D
56 D. Thompson D
7 T. Sparrow M
11 A. Halliday M
38 L. Miller M
12 H. Paton M
8 C. Slattery F
52 T. Watt F
Bench (9)
55 T. Maswanhise
3 S. Seddon
23 E. Wilson
59 L. Armstrong
54 K. Andrews
24 M. Ebiye
58 W. Dickson
88 E. Balcombe
6 D. Zdravkovski

Coach: M. Wimmer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,17
🔒
U
3,44
🔒
B ✓
3,22
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,78
🔒
U2,5
2,02
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.