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Premiership

Referee: C Scott

Motherwell

U S T T U

3–0

Full-time

Dundee United

U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Dundee United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 29%

33%

25%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 46%

67%

25%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,15 xG 0,19

71% Possession 29%

25 Shots 5

8 Shots on target 1

9 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Motherwell 6. · Dundee United 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	3	3	0	0	+6	+9.2	9
2	St Mirren	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.4	7
3	Hearts	3	2	0	1	+4	+0.8	6
4	Dundee	4	2	0	2	+2	-1.8	6
5	Hibernian	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.1	6
6	Motherwell	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.5	5
7	Rangers	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.5	4
8	Dundee United	4	1	1	2	-2	+0.6	4
9	ST Johnstone	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.3	3
10	Aberdeen	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.6	3
11	Falkirk	3	0	1	2	-3	-3.7	1
12	Kilmarnock	3	0	0	3	-9	-8.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.1	6
2	Celtic	2	2	0	0	+2	+4.4	6
3	St Mirren	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
4	ST Johnstone	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
5	Dundee	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.1	3
6	Aberdeen	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.1	3
7	Motherwell	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
8	Dundee United	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.3	1
9	Hibernian	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
10	Rangers	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
11	Falkirk	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
12	Kilmarnock	2	0	0	2	-8	-7.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hibernian	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.3	6
2	Motherwell	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.0	4
3	Rangers	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.2	4
4	Celtic	1	1	0	0	+4	+4.8	3
5	St Mirren	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
6	Dundee	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.6	3
7	Dundee United	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.9	3
8	Falkirk	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.8	1
9	Kilmarnock	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
10	Hearts	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
11	ST Johnstone	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.8	0
12	Aberdeen	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.