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Eredivisie
Referee: Robin Hensgens
0–4
Full-time
Heerenveen
U T U T U
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

47% Possession 53%
11 Shots 23
0 Shots on target 9
5 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 12. · Heerenveen 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 6 5 1 0 +15 +9.1 16
2 AZ Alkmaar 6 5 1 0 +11 +7.1 16
3 Feyenoord 6 4 2 0 +13 +7.8 14
4 Ajax 6 4 1 1 +12 +2.6 13
5 Twente 6 4 1 1 +7 +4.9 13
6 Groningen 7 3 2 2 +2 -1.9 11
7 Excelsior 6 3 1 2 +6 +2.4 10
8 For Sittard 6 3 1 2 -2 -6.5 10
9 Go Ahead Eagles 6 2 3 1 +2 -1.2 9
10 Nijmegen 6 2 1 3 -1 +1.5 7
11 Heerenveen 6 1 3 2 -2 -2.6 6
12 Sparta Rotterdam 6 1 2 3 -3 -1.9 5
13 Telstar 6 1 2 3 -6 -1.5 5
14 Utrecht 6 1 2 3 -8 -3.0 5
15 Cambuur 7 1 2 4 -9 -6.1 5
16 Zwolle 7 1 1 5 -14 -1.6 4
17 Den Haag 7 0 2 5 -10 -6.2 2
18 Willem II 6 0 2 4 -13 -2.9 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Heerenveen
Julian Baas 🟨
24′
28′
Nolhan courtens 0–1
Levi Smans
43′
Jacob Trenskow 0–2
Maxence Rivera
Half-time 0–3
56′
Maxence Rivera 0–3
Levi Smans
Marvin Young 🟨
61′
Robin van Cruijsen 🔁
↦ Bruno Martins Indi
62′
Teo Quintero León 🔁
↦ Joel Ideho
62′
Nick Verschuren 🔁
↦ Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi
62′
Andrej Kostić 🔁
↦ Julian Baas
62′
Boyd Reith 🔁
↦ Lushendry Martes
72′
73′
🔁 Marko Farji
↦ Jacob Trenskow
73′
🔁 Luca Oyen
↦ Levi Smans
75′
Marko Farji 0–4
Luca Oyen
80′
🔁 Roberts Uldriķis
↦ Dylan Vente
80′
🔁 Ringo Meerveld
↦ marcus linday
85′
🔁 Anass Bouziane
↦ Nolhan courtens
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-1
1 M. Brouwer G
2 L. Martes D
3 M. Young D
4 B. Martins Indi D
5 B. Kuipers D
8 Cedric Hatenboer M
6 J. Baas M
7 C. Terho M
10 I. Babadi M
11 Joel Ideho M
9 M. Zonneveld F
Bench (10)
19 Andrej Kostić
30 P. Kuiper
16 Teo Quintero
12 B. Reith
18 A. Roaldsøy
21 J. Toornstra
14 N. Verschuren
22 G. Vianello
17 Robin van Cruijsen
20 F. Bednarek

Coach: R. Meijer

Heerenveen

4-2-3-1
22 B. Klaverboer G
45 O. Braude D
4 S. Kersten D
3 M. Willemsen D
19 V. Zagaritis D
36 N. Courtens M
16 M. Linday M
20 J. Trenskow M
14 L. Smans M
7 M. Rivera M
9 D. Vente F
Bench (11)
17 R. Uldriķis
30 T. Schreuder
41 J. Scholten
11 L. Oyen
44 A. Noppert
10 R. Meerveld
29 L. Machine
28 H. Petrov
21 M. Farji
49 Anass Bouziane
23 D. Bladi

Coach: R. Veldeman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,35
U
3,84
B ✓
2,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,07
U1,5
6,70
O2,5 ✓
1,36
U2,5
2,88
O3,5 ✓
1,95
U3,5
1,80
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,33
BLS nei ✓
2,98

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.