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Premiership
Referee: David Dickinson
Dundee United
T U U U T
0–2
Full-time
Dundee
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Dundee
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,3
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
2,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,23 xG 1,68
68% Possession 32%
24 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 11. · Dundee 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Celtic 2 2 0 0 +5 +6.9 6
2 St Mirren 2 2 0 0 +3 +1.2 6
3 Motherwell 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.7 4
4 Hearts 2 1 0 1 +3 +0.2 3
5 Dundee 2 1 0 1 +1 -0.6 3
6 ST Johnstone 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.9 3
7 Hibernian 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.6 3
8 Aberdeen 2 1 0 1 -1 -0.2 3
9 Rangers 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.1 1
10 Falkirk 2 0 1 1 -2 -1.4 1
11 Dundee United 2 0 1 1 -4 -1.4 1
12 Kilmarnock 2 0 0 2 -5 -5.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee United Dundee
43′
D. Wright 0–1
Half-time 0–1
D. Bennie 🔁
↦ J. Randall
46′
46′
🔁 F. Robertson
↦ C. Reilly
49′
🟨 Ryan Finnigan
Daniel Bennie 🟨
54′
57′
O. Bevan 0–2
A. Forrest
Abdoulaye Yoro 🟨
59′
N. Farrugia 🔁
↦ M. Merghem
60′
Z. Sapsford 🔁
↦ I. Metsoko
60′
L. Rose 🔁
↦ A. Yoro
68′
68′
🔁 B. Fink
↦ J. Bevan
78′
🟨 Owen Bevan
80′
🔁 B. Wales
↦ A. Forrest
Vicko Ševelj 🟨
86′
Dylan Tait 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Ethan Hamilton
91′
🔁 B. Halliday
↦ J. Westley
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Dundee United

4-3-3
1 J. Walton G
5 V. Sevelj D
3 B. Esselink D
18 M. Forbes D
11 W. Ferry D
10 D. Tait M
8 P. Camara M
26 A. Yoro M
7 M. Merghem F
93 I. Metsoko F
21 J. Randall F
Bench (9)
30 J. Amissah
6 R. Graham
23 J. Rawlins
4 I. Iovu
19 K. Ciubotaru
20 N. Farrugia
15 L. Rose
77 D. Bennie
9 Z. Sapsford

Coach: Jim Goodwin

Dundee

4-2-3-1
1 O. Goodman G
7 D. Wright D
4 R. Astley D
5 O. Bevan D
3 I. Odutayo D
8 R. Finnigan M
48 E. Hamilton M
27 J. Bevan M
18 C. Reilly M
14 A. Forrest M
19 J. Westley F
Bench (9)
13 K. O'Hara
2 B. Halliday
52 C. Oosenbrugh
17 Z. Besir
28 C. Jones
10 F. Robertson
58 E. Crombie
21 B. Fink
9 B. Wales

Coach: Steven Pressley

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,18
U
3,33
B ✓
3,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.