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Conference League
Referee: A Colombo
Freiburg
T S T S S
4–1
Full-time
Motherwell
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,5
2,3
Scored
2,8
1,5
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/5 matches
Win Ø 80%
100%
60%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
100%
40%
Both score Ø 70%
100%
40%
Average goals
4,0
2,6
Scored
3,0
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

70% Possession 30%
29 Shots 2
11 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Aug -26 Motherwell – Freiburg 1–3

Match report

Freiburg Motherwell
1–0 D. Scherhant ⚽
M. Eggestein
6′
22′
⚽ E. Longelo 1–1
I. Said
Igor Matanović ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
35′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 T. Sparrow
↦ T. Maswanhise
55′
🟨 Jamie Knight-Lebel
57′
🟥 Jake Girdwood-Reich
2–1 I. Matanovic ⚽
D. Scherhant
60′
3–1 C. Irie ⚽
D. Scherhant
63′
P. Lienhart 🔁
↦ M. Rosenfelder
64′
L. Holer 🔁
↦ Y. Suzuki
64′
65′
🔁 R. Charles-Cook
↦ S. Palmer-Houlden
65′
🔁 O. Whyte
↦ J. Hodge
65′
🔁 W. Vogt
↦ I. Said
K. Goto 🔁
↦ I. Matanovic
67′
V. Grifo 🔁
↦ D. Scherhant
68′
76′
🔁 D. Williams
↦ A. Lowry
B. Ogbus 🔁
↦ M. Ginter
78′
4–1 K. Goto ⚽
85′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Freiburg

4-2-3-1
1 M. Backhaus G
29 P. Treu D
28 M. Ginter D
37 M. Rosenfelder D
30 C. Gunter D
8 M. Eggestein M
16 Y. Engelhardt M
22 C. Irie M
14 Y. Suzuki M
7 D. Scherhant M
31 I. Matanovic F
Bench (12)
21 F. Muller
24 J. Huth
17 L. Kubler
33 J. Makengo
43 B. Ogbus
5 A. Jung
3 P. Lienhart
27 B. Yilmaz
32 V. Grifo
19 J. Beste
9 L. Holer
42 K. Goto

Coach: Julian Schuster

Motherwell

4-3-3
1 A. Paulsen G
3 J. Girdwood-Reich D
4 J. Knight-Lebel D
23 E. Wilson D
45 E. Longelo D
8 L. Fadinger M
11 A. Lowry M
71 J. Hodge M
18 T. Maswanhise F
47 S. Palmer-Houlden F
19 I. Said F
Bench (12)
21 Matty Connelly
20 D. Williams
2 S. O'Donnell
17 R. Charles-Cook
7 T. Sparrow
25 O. Whyte
27 M. Booth
29 Z. McAllister
9 A. Stamatelopoulos
24 L. Ross
77 W. Vogt
15 E. Bjorgolfsson

Coach: Alfred Johansson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Colombo · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.