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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Szymon Marciniak
GKS Katowice
T S S T T
3–2
Full-time
Cracovia
S T U T T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GKS Katowice Cracovia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/8 matches
Win Ø 34%
43%
25%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
86%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
50%
Average goals
3,4
2,3
Scored
1,9
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
22 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match GKS Katowice 10. · Cracovia 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Gornik Zabrze 8 7 0 1 +8 +2.3 21
2 Wisla 9 5 2 2 +5 +4.5 17
3 Legia 8 4 4 0 +9 +4.6 16
4 Lech Poznan 7 5 1 1 +6 +6.4 16
5 Zaglebie 8 4 3 1 +3 -0.2 15
6 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 +2 -3.6 15
7 Piast Gliwice 8 4 1 3 +2 -4.8 13
8 Pogon Szczecin 7 3 3 1 +5 -1.1 12
9 Jagiellonia 7 4 0 3 +1 +1.9 12
10 GKS Katowice 7 3 0 4 +2 -1.3 9
11 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 +0 -0.2 9
12 Cracovia 8 2 2 4 -4 +3.2 8
13 Wisla Plock 7 2 2 3 -5 -0.9 8
14 Radomiak Radom 8 2 2 4 -9 -2.4 8
15 Slask Wroclaw 9 1 3 5 -4 -0.1 6
16 Wieczysta Krakow 8 1 2 5 -6 -0.9 5
17 Motor Lublin 8 1 2 5 -6 -1.0 5
18 Rakow 9 1 0 8 -9 -6.5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

GKS Katowice Cracovia
45′
🔁 Vincent Burlet
↦ Mauro Perković
Half-time 0–1
46′
Martin Minchev 0–1
Ajdin Hasić
Marcin Wasielewski ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
53′
1–1 Bartosz Nowak
54′
55′
🟨 Mohamed Berte
Marcel Wedrychowski 🔁
↦ Szymon bartlewicz
62′
2–1 Mateusz Wdowiak
62′
63′
🔁 Lasse Selvåg Nordås
↦ Mohamed Berte
63′
🔁 Dominik Baumgartner
↦ Mateusz Klich
70′
🔁 sayfallah ltaief
↦ Gustav Henriksson
72′
Lasse Selvåg Nordås 2–2
sayfallah ltaief
Marcel Wedrychowski 🟨
74′
Bartosz Wolski 🔁
↦ Mateusz·Kowalczyk
76′
Erik Jirka 🔁
↦ Marcin Wasielewski
76′
77′
🟨 sayfallah ltaief
79′
🔁 Otar Kakabadze
↦ Ajdin Hasić
Marius Berntsen Olsen 🔁
↦ Alan Czerwiński
85′
Borja Galan 🔁
↦ Mateusz Wdowiak
85′
3–2 Ilia Shkurin
Borja Galan
90′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

GKS Katowice

3-4-3
87 G. Kobylak G
30 A. Czerwiński D
55 Pau Resta D
6 L. Klemenz D
23 M. Wasielewski M
19 K. Łukasiak M
77 M. Kowalczyk M
31 S. Bartlewicz M
7 M. Wdowiak F
17 I. Shkurin F
27 B. Nowak F
Bench (10)
8 Borja Galán
4 A. Jędrych
97 E. Jirka
1 M. Kikolski
21 Jakub Kokosinski
15 E. Marković
22 S. Milewski
14 M. Olsen
10 M. Wędrychowski
68 B. Wolski

Coach: R. Górak

Cracovia

4-2-3-1
13 S. Madejski G
79 D. Piła D
4 G. Henriksson D
61 B. Traoré D
39 M. Perković D
43 M. Klich M
6 Amir Al Ammari M
14 A. Hasić M
20 K. Knap M
17 M. Minchev M
90 M. Berte F
Bench (11)
91 A. Bobek
18 Kahveh Zahiroleslam
92 Mateusz Skoczylas
11 L. Nordås
47 S. Ltaief
25 O. Kakabadze
15 K. Glik
29 W. Dej
77 J. Chrapusta
28 V. Burlet
22 D. Baumgartner

Coach: B. Grzelak

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,20
U
3,46
B
2,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,20
U1,5
4,10
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,11
O3,5 ✓
2,62
U3,5
1,40
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,55
BLS nei
2,26

Referee

Szymon Marciniak · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.