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Referee: S McLean

T T U S T

0–4

Full-time

S T T T U

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Aberdeen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,0

xG conceded Pro

This season — Premiership · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 30%

40%

20%

Average goals

2,6

1,8

Scored

1,6

0,4

Conceded

1,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-1,0

xG conceded Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

69% Possession 31%

12 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motherwell 5. · Aberdeen 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	6	6	0	0	+11	+12.2	18
2	Rangers	6	4	1	1	+3	+2.3	13
3	Hearts	5	4	0	1	+7	+1.3	12
4	St Mirren	6	3	1	2	+2	+0.8	10
5	Motherwell	5	2	2	1	+3	+2.4	8
6	Dundee	6	2	1	3	+1	-2.2	7
7	ST Johnstone	6	2	1	3	-1	+0.2	7
8	Hibernian	5	2	0	3	-2	+1.2	6
9	Dundee United	6	1	2	3	-5	-1.3	5
10	Aberdeen	5	1	1	3	-5	-3.5	4
11	Falkirk	5	0	2	3	-4	-4.4	2
12	Kilmarnock	5	0	1	4	-10	-8.9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	3	3	0	0	+6	+3.5	9
2	Celtic	3	3	0	0	+5	+6.2	9
3	ST Johnstone	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.9	6
4	Rangers	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.3	6
5	Motherwell	2	1	1	0	+3	+2.4	4
6	Dundee	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.8	4
7	St Mirren	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.8	4
8	Aberdeen	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.2	4
9	Dundee United	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.3	2
10	Hibernian	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.6	0
11	Falkirk	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.6	0
12	Kilmarnock	3	0	0	3	-9	-7.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	3	3	0	0	+6	+6.0	9
2	Rangers	3	2	1	0	+2	+1.9	7
3	St Mirren	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.6	6
4	Hibernian	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.6	6
5	Motherwell	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.0	4
6	Hearts	2	1	0	1	+1	-2.2	3
7	Dundee	3	1	0	2	+0	-3.0	3
8	Dundee United	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.0	3
9	Falkirk	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.8	2
10	Kilmarnock	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
11	ST Johnstone	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.7	1
12	Aberdeen	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Feb -26 Motherwell – Aberdeen 2–0 9. Nov -25 Aberdeen – Motherwell 1–1 27. Sep -25 Motherwell – Aberdeen 2–0 29. Mar -25 Aberdeen – Motherwell 4–1 5. Jan -25 Motherwell – Aberdeen 2–0

Match report

Motherwell Aberdeen

12′

🟨 Lewis Mayo

38′

⚽ Gavin Molloy 0–1

Tom Sparrow 🟨

40′

45′

🔁 Jack Milne

↦ Lewis Mayo

Half-time 0–2

46′

⚽ Connor Patrick Ronan 0–2

Kevin Nisbet

Sebastian Palmer-Houlden 🔁

↦ Tawanda Maswanhise

53′

Ibrahim Said 🔁

↦ Jardell Kanga

53′

Emmanuel Longelo 🟨

53′

63′

🟨 Afeez Aremu Olalekan

64′

🔁 Alexander Briedl

↦ Afeez Aremu Olalekan

Willy Gabriel Vogt 🔁

↦ Regan Charles-Cook

67′

Dylan Levitt 🔁

↦ Joe Hodge

68′

72′

🔁 Stuart Armstrong

↦ Findlay Marshall

72′

🔁 Ayoub Mouloua

↦ Toyosi Olusanya

Eythor Bjørgolfsson 🔁

↦ Alex·Lowry

75′

76′

⚽ Ayoub Mouloua 0–3

Connor Patrick Ronan

78′

🔁 Daniel Happe

↦ Mats Knoester

87′

⚽ Kevin Nisbet 0–4

Marius Müller

88′

🟨 Ayoub Mouloua

Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-2-3-1

1

A. Paulsen G

7

T. Sparrow D

3

J. Girdwood-Reich D

5

M. Moormann D

45

M. Emmanuel D

8

L. Fadinger M

71

J. Hodge M

18

Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise M

11

A. Lowry M

13

J. Kanga M

17

R. Charles-Cook F

Bench (9)

21 M. Connelly

63 D. Levitt

2 S. O'Donnell

47 S. Palmer-Houlden

19 I. Said

15 E. Björgólfsson

77 W. Vogt

20 Dylan Williams

4 Jamie Knight-Lebel

Coach: Alfred Johansson

Aberdeen

5-3-2

27

M. Müller G

28

C. Cadden D

23

L. Mayo D

5

M. Knoester D

21

G. Molloy D

24

N. Guinness-Walker D

40

F. Marshall M

32

A. Aremu M

25

C. Ronan M

20

T. Olusanya F

15

K. Nisbet F

Bench (9)

10 A. Briedl

26 D. Happe

30 D. Klein

22 J. Milne

9 A. Mouloua

31 M. Ntelo

11 Lewis Smith

17 S. Armstrong

7 Tony Yogane

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H

1,82

🔒

Betano 1,87 Pinnacle 1,85 SBO 1,84 Bet365 1,83 Betfair 1,83 BetVictor 1,83 1xBet 1,82 Marathonbet 1,80 William Hill 1,80

U

3,73

🔒

Pinnacle 3,83 Bet365 3,80 BetVictor 3,75 1xBet 3,70 Betano 3,70 Betfair 3,70 Marathonbet 3,70 William Hill 3,50 SBO 3,42

B ✓

3,98

🔒

Pinnacle 4,28 Betfair 4,20 Betano 4,10 BetVictor 4,00 Marathonbet 4,00 William Hill 4,00 1xBet 3,98 Bet365 3,90 SBO 3,68

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,20

🔒

U1,5

4,10

🔒

O2,5 ✓

1,69

🔒

U2,5

2,09

🔒

O3,5 ✓

2,75

🔒

U3,5

1,44

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

1,62

🔒

BLS nei ✓

2,15

🔒

Recent matches

5. Sep PL 2 weeks ago

2. Sep PL 2 weeks ago

30. Aug PL 3 weeks ago

27. Aug ECL 3 weeks ago

20. Aug ECL 1 month ago

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

3,2 / match

Below average

⚽ Free kicks

22,1 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.