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Serie B

Referee: Matteo Marchetti

Ascoli

T S U S T

3–1

Full-time

Avellino

T T S S U

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Avellino

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%

15 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ascoli 8. · Avellino 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	+5	+1.0	13
2	Mantova	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.1	10
3	Sudtirol	4	2	2	0	+3	-1.3	8
4	Modena	4	2	1	1	+3	+0.7	7
5	Avellino	4	2	1	1	+3	-0.6	7
6	Cesena	5	1	4	0	+1	+0.3	7
7	Benevento	5	2	1	2	+1	+1.2	7
8	Ascoli	4	2	1	1	+1	-1.9	7
9	Padova	5	2	1	2	-1	-1.1	7
10	Pisa	4	2	0	2	+0	+1.3	6
11	Empoli	4	2	0	2	-1	-0.6	6
12	Arezzo	4	2	0	2	-4	-0.0	6
13	Virtus Entella	5	1	2	2	+1	-0.2	5
14	Vicenza	4	1	2	1	-2	-0.2	5
15	Cremonese	5	1	2	2	-2	-0.5	5
16	Juve Stabia	5	1	2	2	-3	-0.7	5
17	Verona	4	1	1	2	+2	+2.5	4
18	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	-4	+0.0	4
19	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	-4	-1.0	3
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	-4	-0.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Palermo	3	3	0	0	+4	+0.2	9
2	Sudtirol	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.4	7
3	Mantova	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.8	6
4	Avellino	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.6	4
5	Benevento	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.2	4
6	Vicenza	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.0	4
7	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	4
8	Padova	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.7	4
9	Cremonese	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.3	4
10	Verona	2	1	0	1	+4	+1.8	3
11	Catanzaro	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
12	Cesena	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.5	3
13	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
14	Empoli	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.2	3
15	Pisa	3	1	0	2	-3	+1.3	3
16	Virtus Entella	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
17	Juve Stabia	2	0	1	1	-3	–	1
18	Arezzo	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
19	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
20	Carrarese	3	0	0	3	-3	-0.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Modena	3	2	1	0	+4	+0.7	7
2	Arezzo	3	2	0	1	-3	+0.8	6
3	Virtus Entella	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.4	4
4	Palermo	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.8	4
5	Cesena	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.2	4
6	Mantova	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
7	Juve Stabia	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.7	4
8	Pisa	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
9	Avellino	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
10	Ascoli	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.8	3
11	Benevento	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
12	Empoli	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.8	3
13	Padova	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.4	3
14	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
15	Cremonese	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
16	Carrarese	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.1	1
17	Verona	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.7	1
18	Vicenza	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.2	1
19	Sampdoria	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.5	1
20	Catanzaro	4	0	0	4	-5	-1.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.