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Premiership
Referee: R Hardie
Dundee
S T S S T
1–1
Full-time
ST Johnstone
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
25%
67%
Both score Ø 46%
25%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,97 xG 1,08
41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee 4. · ST Johnstone 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Celtic 3 3 0 0 +6 +9.2 9
2 St Mirren 3 2 1 0 +3 +1.4 7
3 Hearts 3 2 0 1 +4 +0.8 6
4 Dundee 4 2 0 2 +2 -1.8 6
5 Hibernian 3 2 0 1 +1 +1.1 6
6 Motherwell 3 1 2 0 +1 +0.5 5
7 Rangers 3 1 1 1 +0 +1.5 4
8 Dundee United 4 1 1 2 -2 +0.6 4
9 ST Johnstone 3 1 0 2 -1 +0.3 3
10 Aberdeen 3 1 0 2 -2 -1.6 3
11 Falkirk 3 0 1 2 -3 -3.7 1
12 Kilmarnock 3 0 0 3 -9 -8.4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Dundee

4-4-2
1 O. Goodman G
2 B. Halliday D
4 R. Astley D
5 O. Bevan D
3 I. Odutayo D
27 J. Bevan M
8 R. Finnigan M
48 E. Hamilton M
14 A. Forrest M
9 B. Wales F
19 J. Westley F
Bench (9)
13 K. O'Hara
26 J. Wright
12 I. Samuels
17 Z. Besir
28 C. Jones
7 D. Wright
18 C. Reilly
10 F. Robertson
21 B. Fink

Coach: Steven Pressley

ST Johnstone

4-4-2
1 T. Steward G
26 M. Todd D
5 Z. Mitchell D
3 C. Diabate D
2 E. Alic D
11 S. Stanton M
8 J. Holt M
42 R. McAlear M
7 T. Steven M
99 R. Paton F
10 J. Gullan F
Bench (9)
20 R. Sinclair
33 L. Smith
14 M. Foulds
4 M. Boyes
6 B. Mikulic
25 M. Tait
23 L. Chalmers
9 J. Fowler
18 K. Fotheringham

Coach: Simo Valakari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,57
U ✓
3,40
B
2,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,81
U2,5 ✓
1,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hardie · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.