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LaLiga2
Referee: Salvador Lax
Castellon
S U S S S
5–0
Full-time
Tenerife
S S T U S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon Tenerife
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 70%
80%
60%
Points per game
2,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
40%
20%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
0,4
0,6
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

64% Possession 36%
9 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 5
1 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Castellon 2. · Tenerife 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Mallorca 6 4 1 1 +6 +2.5 13
2 Castellon 5 4 1 0 +5 +0.4 13
3 Eibar 5 4 0 1 +7 +1.4 12
4 Tenerife 5 3 1 1 +4 -0.8 10
5 Las Palmas 5 3 1 1 +1 -1.8 10
6 Sp Gijon 6 3 1 2 +1 -1.0 10
7 Almeria 5 3 0 2 +4 -1.3 9
8 Oviedo 5 2 2 1 +3 +3.1 8
9 Burgos 5 2 2 1 +2 -0.8 8
10 Sociedad B 6 2 2 2 +1 -2.0 8
11 Granada 5 2 2 1 +1 +0.1 8
12 Sabadell 5 2 2 1 +0 +3.5 8
13 Leganes 5 2 2 1 +0 -2.0 8
14 Girona 5 2 1 2 +3 +0.9 7
15 Celta B 5 2 1 2 -1 -2.2 7
16 Cordoba 6 2 0 4 -4 +1.0 6
17 Eldense 5 1 2 2 -3 -1.9 5
18 Valladolid 5 1 1 3 -5 -1.6 4
19 Cadiz 5 0 3 2 -2 +2.4 3
20 Andorra 6 1 0 5 -4 +4.6 3
21 Albacete 6 0 1 5 -6 +0.4 1
22 Ceuta 5 0 0 5 -13 -5.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Castellon Tenerife
1–0 Diego Barri
Israel Suero Fernández
9′
2–0 Matías Orozco
Adam Jakobsen
24′
3–0 Ousmane Camara
Íñigo Córdoba
29′
Alvaro Martin 🔁
↦ Matías Orozco
45′
45′
🔁 Mauro Pitton
↦ Juanjo Sánchez
45′
🔁 A. Krdžalić
↦ Fabricio Assis de Souza Barbosa
45′
🔁 Noel López
↦ Ivan Chapela
Half-time 3–0
60′
🟨 Mauro Pitton
Pablo Santiago 🔁
↦ Adam Jakobsen
61′
Francisco Castillo 🔁
↦ Israel Suero Fernández
61′
4–0 Pablo Santiago
Juanjo Nieto
62′
65′
🟨 Víctor Moreno Alcalá
Raúl Sánchez 🔁
↦ Íñigo Córdoba
69′
73′
🔁 Martin Pečar
↦ Marc Mateu
73′
🔁 Gerard Valentín
↦ Christian Pierre Louis Gomis
5–0 Ousmane Camara
Alberto Jiménez
77′
Álvaro García Arana 🔁
↦ Ousmane Camara
78′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Castellon

4-4-2
13 R. Matthys G
22 J. Mellot D
5 Alberto Jiménez D
4 A. Sienra D
2 Juanjo Nieto D
16 A. Jakobsen M
6 M. Orozco M
8 Barri M
14 Iñigo Córdoba M
9 Ousmane Camara F
10 Israel Suero F
Bench (12)
19 Hamza Bellari
17 F. Castillo
25 J. Vlak
11 F. Ceccherini
26 Rodrigo Miguel Ferreira Rêgo
27 A. Gala
23 Varo García
21 Álvaro Martín
1 A. Saipi
18 Pablo Santiago
7 Raúl Sánchez
12 Lucas Alcázar

Coach: Pablo Hernández

Tenerife

4-4-2
1 Dani Martín G
5 Jorge Moreno D
12 A. Landázuri D
4 José León D
2 David Rodríguez D
24 Iván Chapela M
6 Juanjo M
15 Fabricio M
21 Marc Mateu M
8 Víctor Moreno F
17 C. Gomis F
Bench (12)
29 Daniel Fernández
18 Enric Gallego
3 R. Jureškin
23 A. Krdžalić
40 Gabriel Lozano
11 Noel López
7 M. Pečar
20 M. Pittón
14 Gerard Valentín
27 N. Viereck
9 De Miguel
19 César Álvarez

Coach: Álvaro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,45
U
4,33
B
6,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,25
U1,5
3,58
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,94
O3,5 ✓
3,25
U3,5
1,32
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,95
BLS nei ✓
1,75

Referee

Salvador Lax · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.