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Premiership
Referee: D Nicolson
Rangers
U S T S S
1–0
Full-time
Motherwell
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rangers Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
27 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 5
7 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rangers 6. · Motherwell 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Celtic 4 4 0 0 +9 +11.0 12
2 St Mirren 4 3 1 0 +4 +2.0 10
3 Hearts 4 3 0 1 +6 -0.1 9
4 Motherwell 4 2 2 0 +4 +2.4 8
5 Dundee 5 2 1 2 +2 -0.9 7
6 Rangers 4 2 1 1 +1 +2.3 7
7 Hibernian 4 2 0 2 -1 +2.0 6
8 ST Johnstone 4 1 1 2 -1 -0.6 4
9 Dundee United 5 1 1 3 -5 -1.3 4
10 Aberdeen 4 1 0 3 -5 -3.4 3
11 Falkirk 4 0 1 3 -4 -4.4 1
12 Kilmarnock 4 0 0 4 -10 -9.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Apr -26 Rangers – Motherwell 2–3 11. Feb -26 Motherwell – Rangers 1–1 27. Dec -25 Rangers – Motherwell 1–0 2. Aug -25 Motherwell – Rangers 1–1 1. Mar -25 Rangers – Motherwell 1–2

Match report

Rangers Motherwell
R. Naderi 🔁
↦ L. Shankland
8′
1–0 R. Naderi ⚽
12′
Min-su Kim ❌
penalty missed
30′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Kanga
↦ I. Said
63′
🔁 S. Palmer-Houlden
↦ R. Charles-Cook
K. Kelsy 🔁
↦ M. Kim
70′
D. Yokota 🔁
↦ D. Gassama
70′
73′
🔁 D. Williams
↦ E. Longelo
73′
🔁 D. Levitt
↦ A. Lowry
83′
🔁 E. Bjorgolfsson
↦ T. Maswanhise
B. Godfrey 🔁
↦ E. Fernandez
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Rangers

4-2-3-1
1 I. Pandur G
21 D. Sterling D
37 E. Fernandez D
24 O. Makhanya D
29 J. Penrice D
43 N. Raskin M
6 D. Neil M
52 F. Curtis M
10 M. Kim M
23 D. Gassama M
7 L. Shankland F
Bench (9)
31 L. Kelly
2 R. McCrorie
4 B. Godfrey
22 V. Dragojevic
14 C. Devlin
42 T. Chukwuani
20 R. Naderi
19 K. Kelsy
17 D. Yokota

Coach: Derek McInnes

Motherwell

4-2-3-1
1 A. Paulsen G
7 T. Sparrow D
3 J. Girdwood-Reich D
5 M. Moormann D
45 E. Longelo D
71 J. Hodge M
8 L. Fadinger M
18 T. Maswanhise M
11 A. Lowry M
19 I. Said M
17 R. Charles-Cook F
Bench (9)
21 Matty Connelly
20 D. Williams
4 J. Knight-Lebel
2 S. O'Donnell
63 D. Levitt
13 J. Kanga
77 W. Vogt
15 E. Bjorgolfsson
47 S. Palmer-Houlden

Coach: Alfred Johansson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,46
🔒
U
4,41
🔒
B
6,06
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,58
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,26
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Nicolson · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.