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Super League

Referee: Christos Vergetis

Aris Thessalonikis

S S S T T

0–0

Full-time

Iraklis

T U S U

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Iraklis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 46%

67%

25%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

83%

25%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

75%

25%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

2,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

23 Shots 6

2 Shots on target 1

10 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 4

3 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 7. · Iraklis 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	4	4	0	0	+9	+1.8	12
2	PAOK	5	4	0	1	+7	+0.2	12
3	AEK	5	3	2	0	+14	+4.1	11
4	OFI Crete	5	3	0	2	+3	-0.4	9
5	Panetolikos	4	3	0	1	+3	+0.8	9
6	Olympiakos	4	2	1	1	+1	+5.0	7
7	Aris Thessalonikis	4	2	0	2	-5	-1.4	6
8	Aris	4	2	0	2	-5	–	6
9	Iraklis	4	1	2	1	-2	-2.4	5
10	Kifisia	5	1	2	2	-3	+1.1	5
11	Kalamata	5	1	1	3	-2	-2.5	4
12	Atromitos	5	0	2	3	-3	-3.4	2
13	Volos NFC	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.0	2
14	Asteras Tripolis	4	0	1	3	-5	-0.2	1
15	Levadeiakos	4	0	1	3	-8	-1.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	3	3	0	0	+14	+4.8	9
2	PAOK	3	3	0	0	+8	+1.6	9
3	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+7	+1.7	9
4	Panetolikos	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.8	6
5	OFI Crete	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.1	6
6	Aris Thessalonikis	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
7	Aris	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
8	Kalamata	3	1	0	2	+0	-1.3	3
9	Olympiakos	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.9	3
10	Volos NFC	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.5	2
11	Kifisia	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.7	2
12	Iraklis	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
13	Atromitos	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.5	1
14	Asteras Tripolis	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.9	1
15	Levadeiakos	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.1	4
2	Iraklis	3	1	1	1	-2	-2.4	4
3	Panathinaikos	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
4	OFI Crete	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.4	3
5	PAOK	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.4	3
6	Panetolikos	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
7	Kifisia	3	1	0	2	-3	+0.4	3
8	Aris Thessalonikis	3	1	0	2	-6	-1.8	3
9	Aris	3	1	0	2	-6	–	3
10	AEK	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.7	2
11	Atromitos	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.9	1
12	Kalamata	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.2	1
13	Levadeiakos	2	0	1	1	-4	-1.6	1
14	Asteras Tripolis	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0
15	Volos NFC	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.