The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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ST Johnstone
Falkirk
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Celtic
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | +12.2 | 18 |
| 2 |
Rangers
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | +2.3 | 13 |
| 3 |
Hearts
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +6 | +1.3 | 12 |
| 4 |
St Mirren
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | +0.8 | 10 |
| 5 |
Motherwell
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +2.4 | 8 |
| 6 |
Dundee
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | -2.2 | 7 |
| 7 |
ST Johnstone
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +0.2 | 7 |
| 8 |
Aberdeen
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -3.5 | 7 |
| 9 |
Hibernian
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -3 | +1.2 | 6 |
| 10 |
Falkirk
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | -4.4 | 5 |
| 11 |
Dundee United
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | -1.3 | 5 |
| 12 |
Kilmarnock
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | -8.9 | 4 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
T. Steward
G
L. Smith
D
C. Diabate
D
Z. Mitchell
D
E. Alıç
D
J. Holt
M
R. McAlear
M
J. Campbell
M
J. Cotterill
M
T. Steven
M
J. Fowler
F
Coach: S. Valakari
S. Bain
G
R. Strain
D
D. Meļņiks
D
L. Henderson
D
L. McCann
D
Finley Frank Barbrook
M
B. Spencer
M
E. Ross
M
B. Krauhaus
M
Owen Eames
M
J. Murrell
F
Coach: J. McGlynn
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
ST Johnstone
Celtic
ST Johnstone
Hibernian
Dundee
ST Johnstone
Hearts
ST Johnstone
St Mirren
ST Johnstone
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.