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Premiership
ST Johnstone
T T U S T
1–1
Full-time
Falkirk
U T T U S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Falkirk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
8 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 8
13 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 7. · Falkirk 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 +11 +12.2 18
2 Rangers 6 4 1 1 +3 +2.3 13
3 Hearts 6 4 0 2 +6 +1.3 12
4 St Mirren 6 3 1 2 +2 +0.8 10
5 Motherwell 6 2 2 2 -1 +2.4 8
6 Dundee 6 2 1 3 +1 -2.2 7
7 ST Johnstone 6 2 1 3 -1 +0.2 7
8 Aberdeen 6 2 1 3 -1 -3.5 7
9 Hibernian 6 2 0 4 -3 +1.2 6
10 Falkirk 6 1 2 3 -3 -4.4 5
11 Dundee United 6 1 2 3 -5 -1.3 5
12 Kilmarnock 6 1 1 4 -9 -8.9 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

ST Johnstone Falkirk
Cheick Diabate 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
Cheick Diabate 🟥
53′
Daniel Finlayson 🔁
↦ Josh Campbell
55′
60′
Ethan Ross 0–1
Owen Eames
Ruari Paton 🔁
↦ Reece McAlear
65′
Sam Stanton 🔁
↦ Jason Holt
65′
67′
🔁 Craig Sibbald
↦ Finley Frank Barbrook
67′
🔁 Ross Maclver
↦ Jacob Murrell
75′
🔁 Calvin Fodrey
↦ Ethan Ross
75′
🔁 Aodhan Doherty
↦ Owen Eames
Danny schmidt 🔁
↦ Zach Mitchell
77′
89′
🔁 Jack McMillan
↦ Ben krauhaus
Ruari Paton 🟨
90′
Enes Alic 🟨
92′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

4-2-3-1
1 T. Steward G
33 L. Smith D
3 C. Diabate D
5 Z. Mitchell D
2 E. Alıç D
8 J. Holt M
42 R. McAlear M
32 J. Campbell M
30 J. Cotterill M
7 T. Steven M
9 J. Fowler F
Bench (9)
19 D. Finlayson
18 K. Fotheringham
14 M. Foulds
99 R. Paton
22 D. Schmidt
20 R. Sinclair
11 S. Stanton
25 M. Tait
26 M. Todd

Coach: S. Valakari

Falkirk

4-2-3-1
19 S. Bain G
22 R. Strain D
21 D. Meļņiks D
5 L. Henderson D
3 L. McCann D
16 Finley Frank Barbrook M
8 B. Spencer M
23 E. Ross M
28 B. Krauhaus M
42 Owen Eames M
24 J. Murrell F
Bench (9)
99 C. Fodrey
1 N. Hogarth
9 R. MacIver
4 J. McMillan
15 L. Neilson
7 Ben Parkinson
10 C. Sibbald
17 S. Tanser
47 A. Doherty

Coach: J. McGlynn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,05
U ✓
3,40
B
3,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,29
U1,5
3,40
O2,5
1,97
U2,5 ✓
1,80
O3,5
3,37
U3,5 ✓
1,29
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,77
BLS nei
1,92

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.