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Pro League
Referee: Simon Bourdeaud'hui
Anderlecht
T S U S T
3–0
Full-time
Waregem
U S U S T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 1
3 Offside 7
7 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 7. · Waregem 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Charleroi 8 7 0 1 +9 +4.5 21
2 St. Gilloise 7 6 1 0 +21 +1.2 19
3 Gent 7 6 1 0 +9 +2.2 19
4 Club Brugge 7 6 0 1 +10 +4.7 18
5 Waregem 6 3 2 1 +6 +1.9 11
6 Standard 7 3 2 2 +1 -0.4 11
7 Anderlecht 6 3 1 2 -1 +2.7 10
8 Genk 6 2 3 1 +4 +5.3 9
9 St Truiden 7 2 3 2 +2 +1.0 9
10 Beveren 6 3 0 3 -3 -4.4 9
11 Antwerp 6 2 1 3 -2 -0.4 7
12 Lommel SK 6 2 1 3 -2 7
13 Lommel United 6 2 1 3 -2 -0.5 7
14 Westerlo 7 2 1 4 -7 -4.9 7
15 RAAL La Louviere 7 1 1 5 -7 -3.0 4
16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 7 1 1 5 -8 -5.3 4
17 Cercle Brugge 8 0 3 5 -7 -0.2 3
18 Mechelen 6 0 2 4 -9 -1.0 2
19 Kortrijk 6 0 0 6 -14 -3.4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Waregem
24′
🟨 Laurent Lemoine
Lukas Ambros 🟨
34′
1–0 Tawfik Bentayeb
40′
45′
🔁 Brent Gabriel
↦ Louis Bostyn
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Marten Winkler
Tawfik Bentayeb
48′
3–0 Marten Winkler
54′
Mihajlo Cvetkovic 🔁
↦ Tawfik Bentayeb
55′
Marten Winkler ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
55′
68′
🔁 Franz Tangala
↦ Salim Diakité
68′
🔁 Malick Mbaye
↦ Ousseynou Niang
68′
🔁 Tobias Hedl
↦ István Átrok
68′
🔁 Serxho Ujka
↦ Marley Aké
Oliver Antman 🔁
↦ Marten Winkler
77′
Thelo Aasgaard 🔁
↦ Danylo Sikan
77′
Marco Kana 🟨
80′
Noa Ojea 🔁
↦ Lukas Ambros
84′
Noah Kalonji 🔁
↦ Marco Kana
84′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-4-2
26 C. Coosemans G
79 A. Maamar D
12 A. Omobamidele D
27 L. Pétrot D
6 L. Augustinsson D
18 L. Ambros M
30 I. Koutsoupias M
55 M. Kana M
10 M. Winkler M
21 T. Bentayeb F
14 D. Sikan F
Bench (13)
29 M. Stroeykens
49 Jayden Onia Seke
53 N. Cobiella
24 E. Llansana
5 O. Reabciuk
8 R. Amané
19 T. Aasgaard
11 O. Antman
50 K. Barry
9 M. Cvetković
83 T. Degreef
32 J. Heekeren
68 N. Kalonji Kafumpata

Coach: Vítor Bruno

Waregem

4-3-3
1 L. Bostyn G
23 S. Diakité D
4 L. Lemoine D
5 J. Kiilerich D
55 Y. Cappelle D
8 T. Claes M
6 E. Lofolomo M
11 M. Aké M
21 Á. Zalán F
18 A. Ementa F
22 O. Niang F
Bench (9)
49 F. Tangala
36 S. Ujka
10 M. Mbaye
20 T. Hedl
13 B. Gabriël
45 D. De Jaegere
25 T. Panduro
90 A. Hemsley
15 E. Mbodji

Coach: M. Beale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,75
U
3,82
B
4,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,17
U1,5
4,50
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,25
O3,5
2,50
U3,5 ✓
1,47
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,58
BLS nei ✓
2,23

Referee

Simon Bourdeaud'hui · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.