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Ligue 1
Referee: Azzedine Souifi
Angers
U T S T U
2–0
Full-time
Troyes
T U S T T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
12 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 11
3 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 11. · Troyes 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Monaco 5 4 1 0 +5 +1.1 13
2 Paris FC 5 3 2 0 +5 +3.0 11
3 Lille 4 3 1 0 +5 -0.9 10
4 Rennes 4 3 1 0 +3 -1.2 10
5 Lyon 4 2 2 0 +4 -1.0 8
6 Strasbourg 5 2 1 2 +0 -2.8 7
7 Brest 4 1 2 1 +0 +4.0 5
8 Paris SG 4 1 2 1 +0 +1.4 5
9 Lorient 4 1 2 1 +0 -0.7 5
10 Lens 5 1 1 3 +0 +3.7 4
11 Angers 4 1 1 2 -1 +0.5 4
12 Troyes 4 1 1 2 -5 -0.4 4
13 Marseille 4 1 0 3 +0 +1.4 3
14 Le Mans 4 0 3 1 -1 -2.1 3
15 Auxerre 4 1 0 3 -6 -2.3 3
16 Le Havre 4 0 2 2 -2 -1.8 2
17 Toulouse 4 0 2 2 -3 +0.2 2
18 Nice 4 0 2 2 -4 -1.8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Troyes
35′
🟨 Iron Gomis
1–0 Prosper Peter
Amine Sbaï
42′
Half-time 1–0
Amine El Ouazzani ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
51′
2–0 Amine Sbaï
Amine El Ouazzani
57′
Jim Allevinah 🟨
63′
67′
🔁 Lucas Maronnier
↦ Noah Donkor
67′
🔁 Hugo Picard
↦ Timothee Nkada
67′
🔁 Renaud Ripart
↦ Mouhamed Diop
Usman Simbakoli 🔁
↦ Prosper Peter
69′
Harouna Djibirin 🔁
↦ Jim Allevinah
69′
73′
🔁 Yacouba Koné
↦ Jérémy Le Douaron
Haris Belkebla 🔁
↦ Amine El Ouazzani
77′
Lillian Rao-Lisoa 🔁
↦ Carlens Arcus
77′
78′
🔁 Kandet Diawara
↦ Yacouba Koné
Anthony Bermont 🔁
↦ Amine Sbaï
85′
Yassine Belkdim 🟨
86′
89′
🟨 Antoine Mille
Ousmane Camara 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Angers

4-2-3-1
1 Anthony Lopes G
2 C. Arcus D
4 O. Camara D
21 J. Lefort D
17 J. Kalulu D
14 Y. Belkhdim M
8 B. van den Boomen M
18 J. Allevinah M
19 A. El Ouazzani M
10 A. Sbaï M
9 P. Peter F
Bench (9)
93 H. Belkebla
26 A. Bermont
24 E. Biumla
36 Bane Diatta
11 Djibirin Harouna
20 Marius Louër
27 L. Rao-Lisoa
7 U. Simbakoli
16 M. Zinga

Coach: S. Gilli

Troyes

4-2-3-1
33 P. Beach G
31 Noah Donkor D
6 A. Monfray D
4 M. Diaz D
3 A. Ouzenadji D
8 M. Diop M
29 D. Karim M
23 T. Nkada M
17 A. Mille M
11 I. Gomis M
9 J. Le Douaron F
Bench (9)
7 K. Diawara
40 H. Konaté
39 Y. Kone
2 L. Maronnier
22 H. Picard
20 R. Ripart
36 I. Soukouna
41 Enisio Carneiro
34 Lassana Simakha

Coach: S. Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,10
U
3,56
B
3,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,22
U1,5
3,90
O2,5
1,81
U2,5 ✓
2,02
O3,5
2,84
U3,5 ✓
1,38
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,64
BLS nei ✓
2,15

Referee

Azzedine Souifi · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
31,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.