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Serie B

Referee: Rosario Abisso

Carrarese

T T U T T

0–1

Full-time

Benevento

T T U T S

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Carrarese Benevento

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

1,8

3,8

Scored

0,5

1,8

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%

13 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

11 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Carrarese 19. · Benevento 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mantova	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.1	10
2	Palermo	4	3	1	0	+4	+1.0	10
3	Sudtirol	4	2	2	0	+3	-1.3	8
4	Modena	4	2	1	1	+3	+0.7	7
5	Avellino	4	2	1	1	+3	-0.6	7
6	Cesena	5	1	4	0	+1	+0.3	7
7	Ascoli	4	2	1	1	+1	-1.9	7
8	Padova	4	2	1	1	+0	-1.1	7
9	Pisa	4	2	0	2	+0	+1.3	6
10	Empoli	4	2	0	2	-1	-0.6	6
11	Arezzo	4	2	0	2	-4	-0.0	6
12	Vicenza	4	1	2	1	-2	-0.2	5
13	Juve Stabia	5	1	2	2	-3	-0.7	5
14	Verona	4	1	1	2	+2	+2.5	4
15	Virtus Entella	4	1	1	2	+1	-0.2	4
16	Benevento	4	1	1	2	+0	+1.2	4
17	Cremonese	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.5	4
18	Catanzaro	4	1	0	3	-3	-1.0	3
19	Carrarese	4	0	1	3	-3	-0.2	1
20	Sampdoria	4	0	1	3	-5	+0.0	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sudtirol	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.4	7
2	Mantova	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.8	6
3	Palermo	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.2	6
4	Avellino	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.6	4
5	Benevento	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.2	4
6	Vicenza	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.0	4
7	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	4
8	Padova	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.7	4
9	Verona	2	1	0	1	+4	+1.8	3
10	Catanzaro	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
11	Cesena	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.5	3
12	Empoli	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.2	3
13	Cremonese	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.3	3
14	Pisa	3	1	0	2	-3	+1.3	3
15	Virtus Entella	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
16	Juve Stabia	2	0	1	1	-3	–	1
17	Arezzo	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
18	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
19	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
20	Carrarese	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Modena	3	2	1	0	+4	+0.7	7
2	Arezzo	3	2	0	1	-3	+0.8	6
3	Palermo	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.8	4
4	Cesena	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.2	4
5	Mantova	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
6	Juve Stabia	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.7	4
7	Pisa	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
8	Virtus Entella	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.4	3
9	Avellino	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
10	Ascoli	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.8	3
11	Padova	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	3
12	Empoli	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.8	3
13	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
14	Cremonese	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
15	Carrarese	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.1	1
16	Verona	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.7	1
17	Vicenza	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.2	1
18	Sampdoria	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.5	1
19	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
20	Catanzaro	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.