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Taça de Portugal

Mafra

T S T T S

2–2

Full-time

Tirsense

S S T T T

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mafra Tirsense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atlético CP	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Vitória de Sernache	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Salgueiros	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+9	3
5	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
6	Alcochetense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
7	Portel	1	1	0	0	+8	3
8	Guarda	1	1	0	0	+6	3
9	UD da Serra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Sacavenense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Mação	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Bragança	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Varzim	2	1	0	1	+3	3
16	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
17	Madalena	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Academica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Os Limianos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Juventude Évora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Aljustrelense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	CF Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Fátima	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Paredes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Alcains	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Maria da Fonte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Fazendense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Cinfães	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Celoricense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Santo Antonio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Naval 1893	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Real	2	1	0	1	-2	3
47	Beira-Mar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Rebordosa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Alpendorada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Camacha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Montalegre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Ponte da Barca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Mortágua	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Florgrade	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	São João Ver	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Maia Lidador	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Vila Meã	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Atlético Malveira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Sousense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Uniao Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Mocarriense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Régua	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Espinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Pevidem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Caldas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	AD Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Ermesinde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	SC Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	Correlhã	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	União Montemor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Pacos de Brandao	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Nazarenos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Penalva Castelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
96	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
97	Uniao de Pombal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
98	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
99	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-5	0
100	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-6	0
101	Minas de Argozelo	1	0	0	1	-8	0
102	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
103	Messejanense	1	0	0	1	-8	0
104	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salgueiros	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+9	3
3	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Alcochetense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
5	UD da Serra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Sacavenense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Mação	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Varzim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
10	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	CF Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Fátima	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Vitória de Sernache	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Alcains	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Maria da Fonte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Fazendense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Cinfães	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Celoricense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Beira-Mar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Rebordosa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Montalegre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Florgrade	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Maia Lidador	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Atlético Malveira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Régua	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Caldas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	AD Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Ermesinde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Naval 1893	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	SC Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Real	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Correlhã	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	União Montemor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Nazarenos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
50	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-6	0
54	Messejanense	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Portel	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Guarda	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Bragança	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Madalena	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Academica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Os Limianos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Juventude Évora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Aljustrelense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Vitória de Sernache	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Naval 1893	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Paredes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Santo Antonio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Alpendorada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Camacha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Ponte da Barca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Mortágua	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	São João Ver	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Vila Meã	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Sousense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Varzim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Uniao Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Mocarriense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Espinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Pevidem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Pacos de Brandao	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
49	Penalva Castelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
50	Uniao de Pombal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
51	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
52	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-5	0
53	Minas de Argozelo	1	0	0	1	-8	0
54	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
55	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.