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Premiership
Referee: L Wilson
Motherwell
T T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Dundee
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Dundee
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
4,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
2,0
3,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-2,5
This season — Premiership · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 30%
33%
26%
Points per game
1,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
70%
74%
Both score Ø 65%
59%
70%
Average goals
2,8
3,6
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,7
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
14 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 6
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 10
0 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 10. · Dundee 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 28 23 3 2 +67 72
2 Rangers 27 17 5 5 +32 56
3 Aberdeen 28 12 5 11 -8 41
4 Dundee United 27 11 7 9 +2 40
5 Hibernian 27 9 10 8 +1 37
6 St Mirren 27 10 4 13 -7 34
7 Hearts 27 9 6 12 +0 33
8 Ross County 28 8 8 12 -19 32
9 Kilmarnock 27 8 7 12 -11 31
10 Motherwell 27 9 4 14 -16 31
11 Dundee 27 7 6 14 -19 27
12 ST Johnstone 28 7 3 18 -22 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell Dundee
1–0 D. Casey
A. Halliday
12′
Andy Halliday 🟨
37′
Half-time 1–0
53′
🔁 J. Shaughnessy
↦ R. Astley
H. Paton 🔁
↦ L. Miller
71′
D. Zdravkovski 🔁
↦ A. Halliday
71′
T. Maswanhise 🔁
↦ C. Slattery
71′
71′
🔁 C. Reilly
↦ S. Tiffoney
79′
S. Murray 1–1
C. Reilly
M. Ebiye 🔁
↦ L. Armstrong
81′
81′
🔁 F. Robertson
↦ Z. Larkeche
2–1 D. Casey
H. Paton
84′
K. Balmer 🔁
↦ K. Andrews
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Motherwell

3-5-2
88 E. Balcombe G
2 S. O'Donnell D
4 L. Gordon D
15 D. Casey D
7 T. Sparrow M
54 K. Andrews M
11 A. Halliday M
38 L. Miller M
56 D. Thompson M
59 L. Armstrong F
8 C. Slattery F
Bench (9)
12 H. Paton
6 D. Zdravkovski
55 T. Maswanhise
24 M. Ebiye
5 K. Balmer
52 T. Watt
22 J. Koutroumbis
61 C. Ward
23 E. Wilson

Coach: M. Wimmer

Dundee

4-3-3
1 J. McCracken G
6 J. McGhee D
4 R. Astley D
50 A. Donnelly D
21 Z. Larkeche D
8 J. Mulligan M
28 M. Sylla M
10 L. Cameron M
7 S. Tiffoney F
15 S. Murray F
11 O. Adewumi F
Bench (9)
5 J. Shaughnessy
18 C. Reilly
19 F. Robertson
2 E. Ingram
14 C. Garza
27 V. López
12 I. Samuels
30 H. Sharp
31 T. Carson

Coach: T. Docherty

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,27
U
3,33
B
3,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,93
U2,5
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Wilson · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.