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Premiership
Referee: Kevin Clancy
St Mirren
U U S S S
3–3
Full-time
Motherwell
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
0,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
1,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

2,32 xG 2,11
45% Possession 55%
23 Shots 22
9 Shots on target 7
8 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 4. · Motherwell 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Celtic 3 3 0 0 +6 +9.2 9
2 Hearts 3 2 0 1 +4 +0.8 6
3 Dundee 3 2 0 1 +3 -0.1 6
4 St Mirren 2 2 0 0 +3 +1.2 6
5 Motherwell 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.7 4
6 Rangers 3 1 1 1 +0 +1.5 4
7 Dundee United 4 1 1 2 -2 +0.6 4
8 Hibernian 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.6 3
9 ST Johnstone 3 1 0 2 -1 +0.3 3
10 Aberdeen 3 1 0 2 -2 -1.6 3
11 Falkirk 3 0 1 2 -3 -3.7 1
12 Kilmarnock 3 0 0 3 -9 -8.4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Mirren Motherwell
2′
T. Maswanhise 0–1
A. Lowry
13′
ℹ️ Emmanuel Longelo
VAR: Penalty confirmed
15′
Tawanda Maswanhise
penalty missed
24′
R. Charles-Cook 0–2
1–2 P. Nsio
S. Ramos
39′
2–2 D. John
S. Ramos
44′
3–2 S. Ramos
A. Gogic
45′
Half-time 3–2
46′
🔁 S. O'Donnell
↦ T. Sparrow
47′
🟨 Stephen O'Donnell
52′
🟨 Martin Moormann
58′
🔁 J. Kanga
↦ T. Maswanhise
58′
🔁 S. Palmer-Houlden
↦ R. Charles-Cook
J. Richardson 🔁
↦ C. Ramsay
61′
F. Taylor 🔁
↦ C. R. Mochrie
61′
E. Sule 🔁
↦ N. Agrafiotis
61′
L. Thomas 🔁
↦ S. Ramos
71′
71′
🔁 D. Williams
↦ J. Hodge
73′
🔁 E. Bjorgolfsson
↦ I. Said
J. Young 🔁
↦ I. Kabia
75′
Ryan Carr 🟨
85′
Jake Young 🟨
89′
90′
J. Kanga 3–3
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

St Mirren

4-2-3-1
1 J. Chapman G
47 C. Ramsay D
13 A. Gogic D
53 H. Fieldson D
3 D. John D
8 R. Carr M
48 P. Nsio M
10 S. Ramos M
23 C. R. Mochrie M
19 I. Kabia M
25 N. Agrafiotis F
Bench (9)
31 R. Mullen
2 J. Richardson
5 R. King
6 L. Jackson
30 F. Taylor
37 C. McEvoy
20 J. Young
9 E. Sule
16 L. Thomas

Coach: Craig McLeish

Motherwell

4-2-3-1
1 A. Paulsen G
7 T. Sparrow D
4 J. Knight-Lebel D
5 M. Moormann D
45 E. Longelo D
71 J. Hodge M
8 L. Fadinger M
18 T. Maswanhise M
11 A. Lowry M
19 I. Said M
17 R. Charles-Cook F
Bench (9)
21 Matty Connelly
20 D. Williams
2 S. O'Donnell
25 O. Whyte
13 J. Kanga
24 L. Ross
77 W. Vogt
15 E. Bjorgolfsson
47 S. Palmer-Houlden

Coach: Alfred Johansson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,51
U ✓
3,21
B
2,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,93
U2,5
1,80
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.