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Ligue 2
Referee: Leprodhomme·Tifenn
Metz
U U U S T
2–2
Full-time
St Etienne
S S S S T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,8
Scored
1,3
2,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,8
Scored
1,3
2,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
10 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Metz 8. · St Etienne 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Etienne 6 5 0 1 +11 15
2 Red Star 7 4 2 1 +2 14
3 Reims 7 3 4 0 +6 13
4 Montpellier 7 3 3 1 +1 12
5 Nancy 7 3 1 3 +1 10
6 Annecy 7 3 1 3 +0 10
7 Sochaux 7 2 4 1 -1 10
8 Metz 6 2 3 1 +3 9
9 Dijon 7 2 3 2 +0 9
10 Pau FC 7 2 2 3 +0 8
11 Guingamp 7 2 2 3 -2 8
12 Dunkerque 7 2 2 3 -2 8
13 Grenoble 7 2 2 3 -3 8
14 Rodez 7 2 1 4 -2 7
15 Nantes 7 2 1 4 -4 7
16 Clermont 7 0 6 1 -2 6
17 Boulogne 7 0 5 2 -2 5
18 Laval 7 1 2 4 -6 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Metz St Etienne
12′
🟨 Sohaib Nair
Believe Munongo 🟨
30′
38′
🟨 Augustine Boakye
Half-time 0–0
Jessy Deminguet 🟨
52′
58′
🔁 Zuriko Davitashvili
↦ Thierno Ballo
67′
Kevin Pedro 0–1
Augustine Boakye
71′
Augustine Boakye 0–2
Áron Csongvai
Jahyann Pandore 🔁
↦ Hamza Kadamani
72′
Abdourahmane Mbodj 🔁
↦ Believe Munongo
72′
1–2 Abdourahmane Mbodj
Jean Ruiz
79′
80′
🔁 Tamar Svetlin
↦ Jakob Breum
80′
🔁 Joshua Duffus
↦ Irvin Cardona
81′
🟨 Julien Le Cardinal
Idris Mohamed 🔁
↦ Jean Ruiz
83′
86′
🔁 Adam Baallal
↦ Augustine Boakye
86′
🔁 Chico Lamba
↦ Julien Le Cardinal
2–2 Jessy Deminguet
89′
90′
🟨 Kevin Pedro
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Metz

4-2-3-1
1 J. Fischer G
70 B. Sarr D
42 C. Devenish D
5 J. Ruiz D
3 F. Miguel D
18 B. Munongo M
8 J. Deminguet M
38 H. Kadamani M
10 T. Savanier M
9 G. Abuashvili M
11 P. Fall F
Bench (9)
4 U. Mboula
6 N. Mendy
88 A. Agne Ba
22 N. Mbala
98 I. Mohamed
21 J. Pandore
61 P. Sy
39 B. Song
33 Abdourahmane Mbodj

Coach: L. Holtz

St Etienne

4-2-3-1
30 G. Larsonneur G
23 K. Pedro D
26 J. Le Cardinal D
18 S. Nair D
6 M. Bernauer D
11 B. Old M
14 Á. Csongvai M
20 A. Boakye M
10 J. Breum M
8 T. Ballo M
7 I. Cardona F
Bench (9)
31 N. El Jamali
13 João Ferreira
37 N. Kasia Nkondo
15 Chico Lamba
1 Mamour Ndiaye
16 T. Svetlin
17 J. Duffus
32 Adam Baallal
22 Z. Davitashvili

Coach: Ian Cathro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,62
U ✓
3,62
B
1,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,20
U1,5
4,25
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,17
O3,5 ✓
2,75
U3,5
1,42
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,57
BLS nei
2,25

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.