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Pro League

Referee: Lawrence Visser

Club Brugge

T S S T S

3–0

Full-time

Genk

S U S U U

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 7/6 matches

Win Ø 60%

86%

33%

Points per game

2,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

57%

67%

Both score Ø 48%

29%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,7

Scored

1,9

2,2

Conceded

0,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

24 Shots 19

7 Shots on target 2

12 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Club Brugge 4. · Genk 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	8	7	1	0	+23	+1.2	22
2	Charleroi	8	7	0	1	+9	+4.5	21
3	Gent	7	6	1	0	+9	+2.2	19
4	Club Brugge	7	6	0	1	+10	+4.7	18
5	Anderlecht	7	4	1	2	+2	+2.7	13
6	Waregem	7	3	2	2	+3	+1.9	11
7	Standard	7	3	2	2	+1	-0.4	11
8	Westerlo	8	3	1	4	-5	-4.9	10
9	Genk	6	2	3	1	+4	+5.3	9
10	St Truiden	8	2	3	3	+0	+1.0	9
11	Beveren	6	3	0	3	-3	-4.4	9
12	Lommel United	7	2	2	3	-2	-0.5	8
13	Lommel SK	6	2	1	3	-2	–	7
14	Antwerp	7	2	1	4	-4	-0.4	7
15	RAAL La Louviere	7	1	1	5	-7	-3.0	4
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	1	1	5	-8	-5.3	4
17	Cercle Brugge	8	0	3	5	-7	-0.2	3
18	Mechelen	7	0	3	4	-9	-1.0	3
19	Kortrijk	6	0	0	6	-14	-3.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gent	4	4	0	0	+5	+1.6	12
2	St. Gilloise	4	3	1	0	+13	+0.2	10
3	Anderlecht	4	3	1	0	+5	+2.3	10
4	Club Brugge	3	3	0	0	+6	+3.2	9
5	Beveren	3	3	0	0	+6	+1.2	9
6	Charleroi	4	3	0	1	+4	+3.1	9
7	Genk	3	2	1	0	+5	+5.8	7
8	Standard	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.2	7
9	Waregem	3	2	0	1	+4	+1.8	6
10	St Truiden	5	1	2	2	-1	+0.5	5
11	RAAL La Louviere	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.6	4
12	Lommel United	4	1	1	2	+2	-0.4	4
13	Westerlo	3	1	1	1	-2	-1.0	4
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.7	4
15	Antwerp	4	1	1	2	-4	-0.8	4
16	Lommel SK	3	1	0	2	+2	–	3
17	Cercle Brugge	4	0	1	3	-5	+1.7	1
18	Mechelen	3	0	1	2	-5	+1.1	1
19	Kortrijk	3	0	0	3	-7	-0.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	4	4	0	0	+10	+1.0	12
2	Charleroi	4	4	0	0	+5	+1.4	12
3	Club Brugge	4	3	0	1	+4	+1.5	9
4	Gent	3	2	1	0	+4	+0.6	7
5	Westerlo	5	2	0	3	-3	-3.9	6
6	Waregem	4	1	2	1	-1	+0.1	5
7	St Truiden	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.5	4
8	Standard	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.6	4
9	Lommel SK	3	1	1	1	-4	–	4
10	Lommel United	3	1	1	1	-4	-0.1	4
11	Antwerp	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.4	3
12	Anderlecht	3	1	0	2	-3	+0.4	3
13	Genk	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.5	2
14	Cercle Brugge	4	0	2	2	-2	-1.9	2
15	Mechelen	4	0	2	2	-4	-2.1	2
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	0	3	-6	-3.6	0
17	Kortrijk	3	0	0	3	-7	-2.5	0
18	Beveren	3	0	0	3	-9	-5.5	0
19	RAAL La Louviere	4	0	0	4	-9	-2.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.