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Eliteserien
Referee: Mathias Stofringshaug
Tromso
T U T T S
3–2
Full-time
Ham-Kam
S U T T S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Ham-Kam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,7
4,0
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 40%
50%
30%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
3,2
3,4
Scored
1,9
1,4
Conceded
1,4
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

66% Possession 34%
18 Shots 5
11 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 4. · Ham-Kam 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 20 16 2 2 +35 +27.3 50
2 Viking 20 15 2 3 +31 +15.7 47
3 Molde 21 11 3 7 +12 +11.5 36
4 Tromso 20 10 5 5 +10 +7.2 35
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 +9 -1.6 33
6 Lillestrom 20 10 2 8 +2 +3.9 32
7 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 -7 -9.7 28
8 Brann 20 8 2 10 +6 +1.9 26
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 -5 -0.3 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 -10 -11.4 25
11 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 -9 -3.3 23
12 Ham-Kam 20 6 5 9 -14 -5.4 23
13 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 -13 -12.8 21
14 Sandefjord 20 5 5 10 -9 -9.1 20
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 -19 -10.2 19
16 Start 20 4 4 12 -19 -3.8 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Ham-Kam
41′
Mohamed Ofkir 0–1
David Benjamin
1–1 Morten Bjorlo
Alexander Warneryd
44′
45′
🔁 Henrik Udahl
↦ Mohamed Ofkir
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Heine Asen Larsen
Ruben Jenssen
60′
60′
🔁 Halvor Rodolen Opsahl
↦ Fredrik Sjolstad
60′
🔁 Danilo Al-Saed
↦ David Benjamin
Vegard Erlien 🔁
↦ Heine Asen Larsen
68′
71′
ℹ️ Henrik Udahl
VAR: Penalty cancelled
75′
🔁 Loris Mettler
↦ Markus Johnsgard
77′
🟨 Snorre Strand Nilsen
Jesper Andreas Grundt 🔁
↦ Morten Bjorlo
83′
3–1 Vegard Erlien
Ruben Jenssen
85′
87′
Vetle Skjaervik 4–1
own goal
Nicolai Arun Jacobsen 🔁
↦ Troy Engseth Nyhammer
93′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Tromso

70 M. Bjørlo M
1 J. Haugaard G
29 A. Warneryd D
4 V. Skjærvik D
10 T. Nyhammer F
7 L. Olden Larsen F
22 H. Larsen M
11 R. Jenssen M
37 S. Innvær F
21 L. Hien D
30 I. Vådebu D
Bench (9)
17 I. Dahlqvist
19 lilletun aleksander elvebu
15 V. Erlien
8 Andreas jesper grundt
18 N. Hristov
33 M. Jatta
12 O. Lauvli
27 M. Mikkelsen
24 V. Osuji

Coach: J. Vik

Ham-Kam

12 M. Sandberg G
3 E. Amundsen-Day D
5 A. Andresen M
28 David Benjamin F
2 M. Gjone D
8 M. Johnsgård M
14 L. Mares D
26 P. Metcalfe M
22 S. Nilsen D
23 F. Sjølstad D
11 M. Ofkir M
Bench (9)
27 João Barros
7 V. Jónsson
10 L. Mettler
18 Duarte Moreira
4 H. Opsahl
6 W. Osnes-Ringen
13 S. Østraat
19 H. Udahl
24 D. Al-Saed

Coach: T. Myhre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,44
U
4,60
B
6,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,17
U1,5
5,00
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,38
O3,5 ✓
2,38
U3,5
1,55
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,70
BLS nei
2,05

Referee

Mathias Stofringshaug · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.