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Allsvenskan

Referee: Richard Sundell

Degerfors

S T T S T

0–1

Full-time

Hammarby

S S T U S

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Degerfors Hammarby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,7

2,5

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 41%

24%

57%

Points per game

0,9

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

43%

57%

Both score Ø 45%

38%

52%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

0,9

2,3

Conceded

1,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%

9 Shots 17

1 Shots on target 12

4 Blocked shots 2

11 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Degerfors 13. · Hammarby 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	22	16	3	3	+24	+10.7	51
2	Djurgarden	22	13	2	7	+26	+4.7	41
3	Hammarby	21	12	4	5	+28	+20.8	40
4	Elfsborg	22	10	7	5	+9	+0.2	37
5	Hacken	22	9	9	4	+9	+9.1	36
6	Vasteras SK	22	10	5	7	-1	-1.3	35
7	Malmo FF	22	10	3	9	+4	+3.9	33
8	AIK	22	9	6	7	-3	-12.6	33
9	Goteborg	22	9	5	8	-10	+2.1	32
10	GAIS	21	7	6	8	+5	+4.6	27
11	Brommapojkarna	22	7	6	9	-6	-6.3	27
12	Mjallby	21	5	7	9	-8	-0.6	22
13	Degerfors	21	5	4	12	-14	-10.6	19
14	Kalmar	22	5	4	13	-15	+0.6	19
15	Orgryte	22	3	6	13	-24	-11.2	15
16	Halmstad	22	3	5	14	-24	-13.9	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	11	9	1	1	+28	+12.0	28
2	Sirius	11	7	2	2	+10	+6.3	23
3	Elfsborg	11	6	3	2	+8	-0.2	21
4	Djurgarden	12	6	1	5	+16	+3.8	19
5	GAIS	11	5	4	2	+12	+4.5	19
6	Goteborg	11	5	3	3	+2	+5.3	18
7	Hacken	11	4	5	2	+0	+6.4	17
8	Kalmar	11	5	2	4	-3	-1.3	17
9	Vasteras SK	11	4	4	3	+4	+1.4	16
10	Brommapojkarna	11	4	3	4	+2	-2.8	15
11	Malmo FF	11	4	1	6	+4	+5.3	13
12	AIK	10	4	1	5	-7	-2.4	13
13	Degerfors	10	3	2	5	-3	-5.7	11
14	Halmstad	11	3	2	6	-9	-6.4	11
15	Mjallby	10	3	1	6	-4	+1.5	10
16	Orgryte	11	1	6	4	-3	-0.9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	11	9	1	1	+14	+4.5	28
2	Djurgarden	10	7	1	2	+10	+0.9	22
3	AIK	12	5	5	2	+4	-10.1	20
4	Malmo FF	11	6	2	3	+0	-1.5	20
5	Hacken	11	5	4	2	+9	+2.7	19
6	Vasteras SK	11	6	1	4	-5	-2.7	19
7	Elfsborg	11	4	4	3	+1	+0.4	16
8	Goteborg	11	4	2	5	-12	-3.2	14
9	Hammarby	10	3	3	4	+0	+8.7	12
10	Mjallby	11	2	6	3	-4	-2.2	12
11	Brommapojkarna	11	3	3	5	-8	-3.5	12
12	GAIS	10	2	2	6	-7	+0.1	8
13	Degerfors	11	2	2	7	-11	-4.9	8
14	Orgryte	11	2	0	9	-21	-10.3	6
15	Halmstad	11	0	3	8	-15	-7.5	3
16	Kalmar	11	0	2	9	-12	+1.9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.