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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: O Valen
Stabaek
S T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Sogndal
U T T U U
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Sogndal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 43%
59%
27%
Points per game
1,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
73%
73%
Both score Ø 60%
55%
64%
Average goals
3,8
4,0
Scored
2,5
1,7
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Stabaek 4. · Sogndal 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Haugesund 22 16 1 5 +31 49
2 Kongsvinger 22 14 5 3 +29 47
3 Stromsgodset 22 13 6 3 +27 45
4 Stabaek 22 13 3 6 +27 42
5 Bryne 23 11 2 10 +1 35
6 hodd 22 10 4 8 -3 34
7 Odd 22 9 6 7 +7 33
8 Egersund 22 8 5 9 -4 29
9 Lyn 22 8 4 10 -6 28
10 Ranheim 22 7 4 11 -5 25
11 Strommen 22 7 4 11 -15 25
12 Sandnes ULF 22 7 3 12 -9 24
13 Sogndal 22 6 5 11 -14 23
14 Moss 22 6 4 12 -15 22
15 Asane 23 5 5 13 -18 20
16 Raufoss 22 6 1 15 -33 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Sogndal
1–0 J. Hanstad
A. Hoven
26′
Half-time 1–1
49′
K. Skaanes 1–1
L. Gausdal
A. Aamodt 🔁
↦ F. Riise
54′
D. Santos 🔁
↦ F. Krogstad
70′
2–1 J. Hanstad
D. Santos
83′
E. Lereng 🔁
↦ A. Hoven
85′
O. Solnordal 🟨
86′
90′
🔁 E. Flo
↦ L. Gausdal
90′
🔁 F. Flo
↦ E. L. Hillestad
90′
🔁 P. Asp
↦ M. Oren
🟨
93′
Full-time 2–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,32
U
5,65
B
6,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,03
U1,5
8,70
O2,5 ✓
1,20
U2,5
4,20
O3,5
1,56
U3,5 ✓
2,31
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,38
BLS nei
2,80

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.