OBOS-ligaen
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Stabaek
Sogndal
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Haugesund
|
22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | +31 | 49 |
| 2 |
Kongsvinger
|
22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | +29 | 47 |
| 3 |
Stromsgodset
|
22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | +27 | 45 |
| 4 |
Stabaek
|
22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | +27 | 42 |
| 5 |
Bryne
|
23 | 11 | 2 | 10 | +1 | 35 |
| 6 |
hodd
|
22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | -3 | 34 |
| 7 |
Odd
|
22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +7 | 33 |
| 8 |
Egersund
|
22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 29 |
| 9 |
Lyn
|
22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 28 |
| 10 |
Ranheim
|
22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -5 | 25 |
| 11 |
Strommen
|
22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -15 | 25 |
| 12 |
Sandnes ULF
|
22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 24 |
| 13 |
Sogndal
|
22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -14 | 23 |
| 14 |
Moss
|
22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -15 | 22 |
| 15 |
Asane
|
23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -18 | 20 |
| 16 |
Raufoss
|
22 | 6 | 1 | 15 | -33 | 19 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Pors Grenland
Stabaek
Bryne
Stabaek
Stabaek
Moss
hodd
Stabaek
Stabaek
Ranheim
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.