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Taça de Portugal

AD Marco 09

U S S T S

1–0

Full-time

Maia Lidador

T U

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AD Marco 09 Maia Lidador

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,7

1,5

Scored

0,8

0,5

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

This season — Taça de Portugal · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

0,0

Scored

1,0

0,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match AD Marco 09 46. · Maia Lidador 70. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Alcochetense	2	2	0	0	+10	6
3	Bragança	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	Atlético CP	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	UD da Serra	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Paredes	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Sanjoanense	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Fazendense	2	2	0	0	+6	6
9	Os Limianos	2	2	0	0	+6	6
10	Fátima	2	2	0	0	+5	6
11	Fafe	2	2	0	0	+5	6
12	Os Marialvas	2	2	0	0	+5	6
13	Vitória de Sernache	2	2	0	0	+4	6
14	CF Os Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Oliveira Hospital	2	2	0	0	+2	6
16	Salgueiros	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	Louletano	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Alpendorada	2	1	1	0	+3	4
19	Mafra	2	1	1	0	+1	4
20	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+7	3
21	Portel	2	1	0	1	+7	3
22	Guarda	2	1	0	1	+5	3
23	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+5	3
24	Brito	1	1	0	0	+5	3
25	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+4	3
26	Sacavenense	2	1	0	1	+4	3
27	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
28	Varzim	2	1	0	1	+3	3
29	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
30	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	Academica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
32	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	Mação	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	AVS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Leça	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Madalena	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	FC Serpa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	CF Benfica	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Chaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Olhanense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Farense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Vizela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Santo Antonio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
52	Sintrense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
53	Aljustrelense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
54	Naval 1893	2	1	0	1	+0	3
55	Alcains	2	1	0	1	-1	3
56	Real	2	1	0	1	-2	3
57	Maria da Fonte	2	1	0	1	-3	3
58	Merelinense	2	1	0	1	-3	3
59	Cinfães	2	1	0	1	-3	3
60	Celoricense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
61	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Rebordosa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Tirsense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Camacha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Montalegre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Florgrade	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	São João Ver	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Maia Lidador	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Vila Meã	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Beira-Mar	2	0	1	1	-2	1
73	Ponte da Barca	2	0	1	1	-2	1
74	Mortágua	2	0	1	1	-2	1
75	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Atlético Malveira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Sousense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Uniao Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Mocarriense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Régua	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Ovarense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Espinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Pevidem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Bombarralense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Caldas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Estrela Calheta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	AD Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Ermesinde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	SC Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Correlhã	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Ançã	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	União Montemor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
106	Pacos de Brandao	1	0	0	1	-3	0
107	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-3	0
108	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
109	Nazarenos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
110	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
111	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
112	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
113	Lajense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
114	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
115	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
116	Penalva Castelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
117	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
118	Ginásio Figueirense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
119	Uniao de Pombal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
120	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
121	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-5	0
122	Vila Pouca	1	0	0	1	-5	0
123	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-6	0
124	Minas de Argozelo	1	0	0	1	-8	0
125	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
126	Messejanense	1	0	0	1	-8	0
127	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alcochetense	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Fazendense	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Fátima	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Oliveira Hospital	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Salgueiros	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
7	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+7	3
8	Bragança	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	UD da Serra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Mação	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Paredes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Varzim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Sacavenense	2	1	0	1	+4	3
15	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
17	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Alpendorada	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Os Limianos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	CF Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	FC Serpa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
25	Vitória de Sernache	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Maria da Fonte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Olhanense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Celoricense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Alcains	2	1	0	1	-1	3
30	Cinfães	2	1	0	1	-3	3
31	Rebordosa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Mafra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Montalegre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Florgrade	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Maia Lidador	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Beira-Mar	2	0	1	1	-2	1
39	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Atlético Malveira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Guarda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Régua	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Ovarense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Bombarralense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Caldas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Estrela Calheta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	AD Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Ermesinde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Sintrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Naval 1893	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Ponte da Barca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	SC Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Real	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Correlhã	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Ançã	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	União Montemor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Nazarenos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	Vila Pouca	1	0	0	1	-5	0
72	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-6	0
73	Messejanense	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Os Marialvas	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	CF Os Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Louletano	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Portel	2	1	0	1	+7	3
5	Guarda	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	Brito	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Bragança	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Madalena	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Academica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Os Limianos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Vitória de Sernache	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Naval 1893	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Paredes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	AVS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Leça	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	UD da Serra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Chaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Farense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Vizela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Santo Antonio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Aljustrelense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Alpendorada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Tirsense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Camacha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Ponte da Barca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Mortágua	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	São João Ver	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Vila Meã	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Sousense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Varzim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Uniao Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Mocarriense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Espinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Pevidem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	CF Benfica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Pacos de Brandao	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Mação	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Lajense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Penalva Castelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Celoricense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
71	Ginásio Figueirense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
72	Merelinense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
73	Uniao de Pombal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
74	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
75	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-5	0
76	Minas de Argozelo	1	0	0	1	-8	0
77	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
78	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.