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Pro League

Referee: Bert Verbeke

Genk

S U T S U

4–0

Full-time

Beveren

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Beveren

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

5,3

2,7

Scored

2,7

0,7

Conceded

2,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

3,06 xG 0,61

49% Possession 51%

12 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 9

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 9

0 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 4

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 10. · Beveren 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Charleroi	4	4	0	0	+6	+4.0	12
2	Club Brugge	3	3	0	0	+7	+5.4	9
3	Waregem	3	2	1	0	+5	+1.9	7
4	Antwerp	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.2	7
5	Gent	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.5	6
6	Standard	3	1	2	0	+2	+0.1	5
7	St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	+4	+0.9	4
8	Lommel SK	3	1	1	1	+3	–	4
9	Lommel United	3	1	1	1	+3	-0.9	4
10	Genk	3	1	1	1	+0	+2.9	4
11	St Truiden	3	0	3	0	+0	-1.6	3
12	Anderlecht	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.9	3
13	Beveren	3	1	0	2	-4	-3.7	3
14	Cercle Brugge	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.2	2
15	Mechelen	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.9	1
16	RAAL La Louviere	3	0	0	3	-4	-3.0	0
17	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	0	2	-5	-4.1	0
18	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.9	0
19	Westerlo	4	0	0	4	-13	-4.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Waregem	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.8	6
2	Charleroi	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.1	6
3	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.2	6
4	Standard	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.2	4
5	Antwerp	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.8	4
6	Lommel SK	2	1	0	1	+3	–	3
7	Lommel United	2	1	0	1	+3	-0.4	3
8	Gent	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
9	Genk	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.4	3
10	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.3	3
11	Beveren	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.6	3
12	St Truiden	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.5	2
13	Cercle Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.1	1
14	Mechelen	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
15	St. Gilloise	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
16	RAAL La Louviere	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
17	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.4	0
18	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
19	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Charleroi	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.9	6
2	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.0	3
3	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.4	3
4	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
5	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
6	St Truiden	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.1	1
7	Standard	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
8	Lommel SK	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
9	Lommel United	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
10	Waregem	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
11	Genk	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.5	1
12	Cercle Brugge	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.9	1
13	Anderlecht	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.8	0
15	RAAL La Louviere	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.4	0
16	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.5	0
17	Mechelen	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.0	0
18	Beveren	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.1	0
19	Westerlo	3	0	0	3	-9	-3.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.