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Pro League

Referee: L Visser

Genk

S T S T T

3–5

Full-time

Club Brugge

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Club Brugge

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 9/12 matches

Win Ø 54%

33%

75%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

67%

42%

Both score Ø 66%

89%

42%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

1,4

1,8

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

1,63 xG 1,22

53% Possession 47%

22 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 6

7 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 13. · Club Brugge 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	12	9	3	0	+21	+15.8	30
2	Club Brugge	12	9	1	2	+11	+5.7	28
3	Mechelen	13	7	4	2	+7	-3.4	25
4	St Truiden	10	6	2	2	+4	+8.8	20
5	Anderlecht	12	5	4	3	+3	+3.5	19
6	Gent	10	6	1	3	+3	+1.7	19
7	Waregem	14	5	3	6	-2	-7.8	18
8	Westerlo	13	4	5	4	+1	+5.2	17
9	Antwerp	13	4	4	5	+0	-2.9	16
10	Standard	13	4	3	6	-8	-6.0	15
11	Cercle Brugge	15	3	4	8	-4	+2.6	13
12	RAAL La Louviere	14	3	4	7	-6	-8.7	13
13	Genk	9	3	3	3	+0	+1.9	12
14	Charleroi	13	3	3	7	-5	-1.6	12
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	12	3	3	6	-6	-2.9	12
16	Dender	15	1	3	11	-19	-11.8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	6	6	0	0	+16	+9.0	18
2	Club Brugge	6	4	1	1	+4	+1.4	13
3	Gent	5	4	0	1	+7	+2.3	12
4	St Truiden	6	4	0	2	+1	+4.4	12
5	Westerlo	6	3	2	1	+6	+5.2	11
6	Waregem	7	3	1	3	+1	-2.8	10
7	Antwerp	8	2	3	3	+0	+0.4	9
8	Charleroi	7	2	3	2	+0	-0.4	9
9	Anderlecht	5	2	2	1	+3	+4.5	8
10	Mechelen	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.2	8
11	RAAL La Louviere	6	2	2	2	-1	-4.2	8
12	Genk	5	2	1	2	+0	+2.7	7
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	1	2	4	-1	-1.1	5
14	Cercle Brugge	9	1	2	6	-5	+2.4	5
15	Standard	5	0	3	2	-4	+0.4	3
16	Dender	7	0	1	6	-11	-6.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mechelen	8	5	2	1	+6	-3.5	17
2	Club Brugge	6	5	0	1	+7	+4.3	15
3	St. Gilloise	6	3	3	0	+5	+6.9	12
4	Standard	8	4	0	4	-4	-6.4	12
5	Anderlecht	7	3	2	2	+0	-1.0	11
6	St Truiden	4	2	2	0	+3	+4.5	8
7	Cercle Brugge	6	2	2	2	+1	+0.2	8
8	Waregem	7	2	2	3	-3	-5.0	8
9	Antwerp	5	2	1	2	+0	-3.2	7
10	Gent	5	2	1	2	-4	-0.7	7
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	2	1	2	-5	-1.8	7
12	Westerlo	7	1	3	3	-5	-0.0	6
13	Genk	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.9	5
14	RAAL La Louviere	8	1	2	5	-5	-4.5	5
15	Dender	8	1	2	5	-8	-5.5	5
16	Charleroi	6	1	0	5	-5	-1.3	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.