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Taça de Portugal

Fafe

S S U T S

4–0

Full-time

Lajense

T S T T T

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fafe Lajense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

0,8

3,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-2,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atlético CP	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Vitória de Sernache	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	CF Os Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Salgueiros	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Mafra	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
7	Alcochetense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
8	Portel	1	1	0	0	+8	3
9	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+7	3
10	Guarda	1	1	0	0	+6	3
11	UD da Serra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Sacavenense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	Mação	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Bragança	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Varzim	2	1	0	1	+3	3
18	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
19	Madalena	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Academica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Os Limianos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Juventude Évora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Aljustrelense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	CF Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Fátima	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Paredes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Alcains	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Maria da Fonte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Fazendense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Cinfães	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Celoricense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Santo Antonio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Naval 1893	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Real	2	1	0	1	-2	3
48	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Rebordosa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Alpendorada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Tirsense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Camacha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Montalegre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Ponte da Barca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Mortágua	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Florgrade	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	São João Ver	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Maia Lidador	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Vila Meã	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Beira-Mar	2	0	1	1	-2	1
63	Atlético Malveira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Sousense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Uniao Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Mocarriense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Régua	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Espinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Pevidem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Caldas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	AD Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Ermesinde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	SC Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Correlhã	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	União Montemor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Pacos de Brandao	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Nazarenos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
96	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
97	Penalva Castelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
98	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
99	Uniao de Pombal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
100	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
101	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-5	0
102	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-6	0
103	Minas de Argozelo	1	0	0	1	-8	0
104	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
105	Messejanense	1	0	0	1	-8	0
106	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salgueiros	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Alcochetense	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+7	3
5	UD da Serra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Sacavenense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Mação	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Varzim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
10	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	CF Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Fátima	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Vitória de Sernache	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Alcains	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Maria da Fonte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Fazendense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Cinfães	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Celoricense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Rebordosa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Mafra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Montalegre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Florgrade	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Maia Lidador	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Beira-Mar	2	0	1	1	-2	1
32	Atlético Malveira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Régua	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Caldas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	AD Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Ermesinde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Naval 1893	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	SC Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Real	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Correlhã	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	União Montemor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Nazarenos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-6	0
55	Messejanense	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	CF Os Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Portel	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Guarda	1	1	0	0	+6	3
4	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Bragança	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Madalena	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Academica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Os Limianos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Juventude Évora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Aljustrelense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Vitória de Sernache	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Naval 1893	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Paredes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Santo Antonio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Alpendorada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Tirsense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Camacha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Ponte da Barca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Mortágua	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	São João Ver	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Vila Meã	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Sousense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Varzim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Uniao Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Mocarriense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Espinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Pevidem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Pacos de Brandao	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	Penalva Castelo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Uniao de Pombal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
53	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
54	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-5	0
55	Minas de Argozelo	1	0	0	1	-8	0
56	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
57	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.