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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Jaroslaw Przybyl

Lech Poznan

S S S T T

5–1

Full-time

Radomiak Radom

U S S U T

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Radomiak Radom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,3

1,8

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/8 matches

Win Ø 48%

71%

25%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

71%

63%

Both score Ø 54%

57%

50%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

0,9

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

62% Possession 38%

26 Shots 12

9 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lech Poznan 4. · Radomiak Radom 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	9	7	1	1	+8	+2.3	22
2	Legia	9	5	4	0	+11	+4.6	19
3	Wisla	9	5	2	2	+5	+4.5	17
4	Lech Poznan	7	5	1	1	+6	+6.4	16
5	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	3	1	+6	-1.1	15
6	Korona Kielce	9	4	3	2	+2	-3.6	15
7	Zaglebie	9	4	3	2	+1	-0.2	15
8	Piast Gliwice	9	4	1	4	+1	-4.8	13
9	GKS Katowice	8	4	0	4	+3	-1.3	12
10	Jagiellonia	8	4	0	4	-1	+1.9	12
11	Wisla Plock	8	3	2	3	-3	-0.9	11
12	Widzew Lodz	9	1	6	2	+0	-0.2	9
13	Cracovia	9	2	2	5	-5	+3.2	8
14	Radomiak Radom	8	2	2	4	-9	-2.4	8
15	Slask Wroclaw	9	1	3	5	-4	-0.1	6
16	Motor Lublin	9	1	3	5	-6	-1.0	6
17	Wieczysta Krakow	8	1	2	5	-6	-0.9	5
18	Rakow	9	1	0	8	-9	-6.5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla	5	5	0	0	+7	+2.1	15
2	Lech Poznan	4	3	1	0	+5	+4.6	10
3	Zaglebie	5	3	1	1	+2	+0.8	10
4	GKS Katowice	3	3	0	0	+8	+2.4	9
5	Gornik Zabrze	4	3	0	1	+2	-1.0	9
6	Legia	4	2	2	0	+7	+2.0	8
7	Pogon Szczecin	5	2	2	1	+3	-0.2	8
8	Piast Gliwice	5	2	1	2	+2	-2.6	7
9	Radomiak Radom	5	2	1	2	-2	+0.0	7
10	Korona Kielce	5	1	3	1	-1	-1.6	6
11	Cracovia	4	2	0	2	-1	+2.2	6
12	Jagiellonia	4	2	0	2	-2	-0.1	6
13	Slask Wroclaw	4	1	2	1	+0	-1.8	5
14	Wisla Plock	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.2	4
15	Motor Lublin	5	1	1	3	-3	+1.7	4
16	Widzew Lodz	5	0	3	2	-2	+0.2	3
17	Rakow	5	1	0	4	-5	-3.1	3
18	Wieczysta Krakow	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	5	4	1	0	+6	+3.3	13
2	Legia	5	3	2	0	+4	+2.5	11
3	Korona Kielce	4	3	0	1	+3	-1.9	9
4	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.9	7
5	Wisla Plock	5	2	1	2	-3	-2.1	7
6	Widzew Lodz	4	1	3	0	+2	-0.4	6
7	Jagiellonia	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.0	6
8	Lech Poznan	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.7	6
9	Piast Gliwice	4	2	0	2	-1	-2.1	6
10	Zaglebie	4	1	2	1	-1	-1.0	5
11	Wieczysta Krakow	6	1	1	4	-5	-0.2	4
12	GKS Katowice	5	1	0	4	-5	-3.6	3
13	Wisla	4	0	2	2	-2	+2.4	2
14	Motor Lublin	4	0	2	2	-3	-2.7	2
15	Cracovia	5	0	2	3	-4	+1.0	2
16	Slask Wroclaw	5	0	1	4	-4	+1.7	1
17	Radomiak Radom	3	0	1	2	-7	-2.4	1
18	Rakow	4	0	0	4	-4	-3.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.