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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas
Getafe
T T U U T
1–0
Full-time
Malaga
U T U U T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
20 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 17. · Malaga 20.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 7 7 0 0 +24 +14.3 21
2 Real Madrid 6 5 0 1 +11 +10.4 15
3 Betis 6 5 0 1 +2 +0.3 15
4 Ath Madrid 6 4 1 1 +8 +3.3 13
5 Sevilla 7 4 1 2 +1 -0.6 13
6 Alaves 7 3 2 2 +5 +3.1 11
7 La Coruna 6 2 3 1 +2 -1.6 9
8 Ath Bilbao 6 2 2 2 +1 -1.1 8
9 Vallecano 7 2 2 3 -5 -5.0 8
10 Osasuna 7 2 2 3 -7 -0.6 8
11 Celta 7 1 4 2 +2 -2.6 7
12 Espanol 7 2 1 4 +0 -1.5 7
13 Sociedad 6 2 1 3 -5 -3.2 7
14 Santander 7 2 1 4 -10 -2.8 7
15 Villarreal 6 1 2 3 -1 +0.6 5
16 Levante 5 1 2 2 -2 -0.0 5
17 Getafe 6 1 2 3 -4 -3.2 5
18 Elche 7 1 2 4 -6 -6.3 5
19 Valencia 6 1 1 4 -8 -0.1 4
20 Malaga 6 0 3 3 -8 -3.3 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Malaga
Johan Mojica 🟨
21′
39′
🟨 Eneko Jauregi
45′
🔁 Adrian Nino
↦ Eneko Jauregi
Half-time 0–0
50′
🟨 David Larrubia
Nemanja Gudelj 🟨
54′
Francho Serrano Gracia 🟨
58′
Orel Mangala 🔁
↦ Dakonam Ortega Djené
65′
67′
🔁 Pablo Martínez Andrés
↦ Dani Lorenzo
67′
🔁 Carlos Ruiz Rubio
↦ Joaquín Muñoz
Ramón Terrats 🟨
68′
74′
🔁 Ramón Enríquez
↦ Rafael Rodríguez Ruiz
1–0 Iván Azón
Martin Satriano
85′
89′
🔁 Juan Cruz
↦ Juan Berrocal
Saba Sazonov 🔁
↦ Iván Azón
89′
David Cordón Mancha 🔁
↦ Martin Satriano
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Getafe

4-4-2
13 David Soria G
21 Andrés García D
2 D. Dakonam D
24 Z. Romero D
22 J. Mojica D
11 Ramón Terrats M
8 N. Gudelj M
16 Francho Serrano M
10 M. Satriano M
19 E. Ünal F
20 Iván Azón F
Bench (10)
26 J. Valou
4 S. Sazonov
9 Borja Mayoral
23 O. Mangala
1 J. Letáček
31 M. Hamdoune
35 Diego Ferrer
3 Davinchi
15 S. Boselli
28 Alberto Risco

Coach: Pepe Bordalás

Malaga

4-4-2
1 Alfonso Herrero G
31 Rafita D
25 Juan Berrocal D
15 M. Diarra D
12 José Salinas D
10 David Larrubia M
14 Rafa Rodríguez M
22 Dani Lorenzo M
11 Joaquín Muñoz M
8 Carlos Dotor F
17 Eneko Jauregi F
Bench (12)
32 J. Fernandez
3 Puga
5 Álex Pastor
21 Adrián Niño Heredia
23 Izan Merino
18 Pablo Martínez
13 Carlos López
4 Einar Galilea
6 Ramón Enríquez
19 Juan Cruz
9 Chupe
30 Andrés Céspedes

Coach: Funes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,00
U
3,18
B
4,30
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,50
U1,5 ✓
2,57
O2,5
2,57
U2,5 ✓
1,50
O3,5
5,00
U3,5 ✓
1,14
Both teams to score
BLS ja
2,15
BLS nei ✓
1,64

Referee

Javier Alberola Rojas · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.