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Eredivisie

Referee: Martijn Vos

Nijmegen

S T U T T

1–1

Full-time

Go Ahead Eagles

U S T U U

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Go Ahead Eagles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,8

4,7

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

2,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

3,8

4,7

Scored

1,8

2,5

Conceded

2,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%

17 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 6

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nijmegen 11. · Go Ahead Eagles 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	+12	+7.1	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	+18	+7.8	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	+14	+9.1	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	+8	+4.9	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	+12	+2.6	14
6	For Sittard	7	4	1	2	-1	-6.5	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	+6	+2.4	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	+2	-1.9	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	6	2	3	1	+2	-1.2	9
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	+2	-2.6	9
11	Nijmegen	6	2	1	3	-1	+1.5	7
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	-7	-1.9	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	-7	-1.5	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	-9	-6.1	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	-13	-3.0	5
16	Zwolle	7	1	1	5	-14	-1.6	4
17	Den Haag	7	0	2	5	-10	-6.2	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	-14	-2.9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Twente	4	4	0	0	+6	+1.4	12
2	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	1	0	+6	+2.4	10
3	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	1	0	+7	+4.6	7
4	Go Ahead Eagles	3	2	1	0	+5	+0.9	7
5	Groningen	4	2	1	1	+3	-0.8	7
6	Feyenoord	3	1	2	0	+5	+3.6	5
7	Ajax	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.6	5
8	Heerenveen	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.7	4
9	Excelsior	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.4	3
10	For Sittard	3	1	0	2	-4	-4.5	3
11	Cambuur	4	1	0	3	-7	-5.6	3
12	Sparta Rotterdam	4	0	2	2	-5	-2.7	2
13	Nijmegen	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.0	1
14	Den Haag	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.3	1
15	Telstar	3	0	1	2	-6	-1.0	1
16	Willem II	4	0	1	3	-7	-1.9	1
17	Utrecht	3	0	1	2	-8	-3.9	1
18	Zwolle	3	0	0	3	-11	-0.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+13	+4.2	12
2	For Sittard	4	3	1	0	+3	-2.0	10
3	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+10	+2.0	9
4	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+7	+4.5	9
5	AZ Alkmaar	3	3	0	0	+6	+4.7	9
6	Excelsior	4	2	2	0	+7	+3.8	8
7	Nijmegen	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.5	6
8	Heerenveen	3	1	2	0	+4	-1.0	5
9	Twente	3	1	1	1	+2	+3.5	4
10	Groningen	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.1	4
11	Telstar	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.5	4
12	Zwolle	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.7	4
13	Utrecht	4	1	1	2	-5	+0.9	4
14	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.9	3
15	Cambuur	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.5	2
16	Go Ahead Eagles	3	0	2	1	-3	-2.1	2
17	Den Haag	4	0	1	3	-6	-4.0	1
18	Willem II	3	0	1	2	-7	-0.9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.