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Pro League

Referee: Lawrence Visser

Genk

U U S U T

3–2

Full-time

Westerlo

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Westerlo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,7

3,5

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

0,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

6,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,0

5,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

4,24 xG 0,85

51% Possession 49%

22 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 13. · Westerlo 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Antwerp	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.7	6
2	St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	+4	+0.9	4
3	Waregem	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	4
4	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.5	3
5	Charleroi	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.8	3
6	Gent	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
7	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.3	3
8	St Truiden	3	0	3	0	+0	-1.6	3
9	Cercle Brugge	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.0	2
10	Standard	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
11	Lommel SK	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
12	Lommel United	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
13	Genk	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
14	RAAL La Louviere	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.3	0
15	Beveren	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.8	0
17	Mechelen	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
18	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.0	0
19	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.5	3
2	Charleroi	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.8	3
3	Gent	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
4	Waregem	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
5	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.3	3
6	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
7	St Truiden	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.5	2
8	Cercle Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.1	1
9	Standard	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
10	St. Gilloise	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
11	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.4	0
12	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.0	3
2	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.4	3
3	St Truiden	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.1	1
4	Cercle Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
5	Lommel SK	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
6	Lommel United	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
7	Waregem	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
8	Genk	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
9	RAAL La Louviere	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.3	0
10	Beveren	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.8	0
12	Mechelen	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
13	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.