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Referee: Urs Schnyder

T T U T T

0–4

Full-time

S S S U S

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

0%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,2

xG conceded Pro

This season — Super League · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 51%

13%

88%

Points per game

0,8

2,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

38%

88%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,3

3,8

Scored

0,9

2,9

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+2,0

xG conceded Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

29% Possession 71%

7 Shots 21

4 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

1 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lausanne 12. · Lugano 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	8	7	1	0	+16	+2.5	22
2	Young Boys	9	5	4	0	+13	+5.5	19
3	Sion	9	6	1	2	+9	+4.2	19
4	Basel	8	4	1	3	+2	-0.5	13
5	Luzern	9	3	3	3	-1	-2.8	12
6	Zurich	9	3	2	4	-6	-5.0	11
7	Servette	9	3	1	5	-2	+1.0	10
8	St. Gallen	8	3	1	4	-5	+4.2	10
9	Thun	9	3	1	5	-8	-5.2	10
10	Grasshoppers	9	2	2	5	-11	+3.1	8
11	Vaduz	9	2	0	7	-3	-3.6	6
12	Lausanne	8	1	3	4	-4	-3.4	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	5	4	1	0	+10	+2.0	13
2	Young Boys	5	3	2	0	+5	+3.5	11
3	Sion	5	3	1	1	+4	+4.8	10
4	Luzern	5	3	0	2	+2	+2.9	9
5	Vaduz	4	2	0	2	+3	+0.3	6
6	Zurich	4	2	0	2	-1	-0.2	6
7	Servette	4	1	1	2	-2	+0.5	4
8	St. Gallen	4	1	1	2	-3	+4.0	4
9	Grasshoppers	4	1	1	2	-4	+3.5	4
10	Basel	4	1	0	3	-2	-1.1	3
11	Lausanne	4	0	2	2	-2	-0.1	2
12	Thun	4	0	1	3	-9	-2.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	4	3	1	0	+4	+0.6	10
2	Lugano	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.5	9
3	Sion	4	3	0	1	+5	-0.6	9
4	Thun	5	3	0	2	+1	-3.2	9
5	Young Boys	4	2	2	0	+8	+2.0	8
6	Servette	5	2	0	3	+0	+0.6	6
7	St. Gallen	4	2	0	2	-2	+0.2	6
8	Zurich	5	1	2	2	-5	-4.8	5
9	Lausanne	4	1	1	2	-2	-3.2	4
10	Grasshoppers	5	1	1	3	-7	-0.5	4
11	Luzern	4	0	3	1	-3	-5.7	3
12	Vaduz	5	0	0	5	-6	-3.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Feb -26 Lugano – Lausanne 2–1 7. Dec -25 Lausanne – Lugano 0–0 17. Sep -25 Lugano – Lausanne 1–1 18. May -25 Lausanne – Lugano 1–1 21. Apr -25 Lausanne – Lugano 2–0

Match report

Lausanne Lugano

Koba Koindredi 🟨

2′

4′

🟨 Yanis Cimignani

Étienne Youte Kinkoue 🟨

7′

Abdou Karim Sow 🟨

33′

35′

⚽ Hannes Delcroix 0–1

Antonios Papadopoulos

Seydou Traore 🔁

↦ Omar Janneh

45′

Half-time 0–2

48′

⚽ Hannes Delcroix 0–2

Beckham Castro

Sekou Kone 🟥

50′

52′

⚽ Hannes Delcroix 0–3

Behruzjon Karimov

53′

🟨 Beckham Castro

55′

🟨 Uran Bislimi

Nathan Butler-Oyedeji 🔁

↦ Ibrahim Bah Mendes

55′

Florent Mollet 🔁

↦ Enzo Molebe

55′

56′

🔁 Mattia Zanotti

↦ Yanis Cimignani

57′

🔁 Albian Ajeti

↦ Beckham Castro

61′

⚽ Abdou Karim Sow 1–3

own goal

72′

🔁 Martim Marques

↦ Behruzjon Karimov

72′

🔁 Ahmed Kendouci

↦ Uran Bislimi

Levy Nene 🔁

↦ Koba Koindredi

72′

81′

🔁 Gjan Ajdin

↦ Anto Grgic

Dircssi Ngonzo 🔁

↦ Étienne Youte Kinkoue

87′

Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Lausanne

3-4-3

90

M. Mastil G

4

É. Youté D

71

K. Sow D

31

N. Cozza D

2

B. Soppy M

80

S. Koné M

88

K. Koindredi M

18

M. Poaty M

51

I. Bah Mendes Mayala F

78

Omar Janneh F

9

E. Molébé F

Bench (9)

6 T. Bergvall

7 A. Ajdini

11 N. Butler-Oyedeji

1 T. Castella

91 F. Mollet

47 Papa Souleymane N'Diaye

77 L. Nene

5 D. Ngonzo

17 S. Traore

Coach: Luka Elsner

Lugano

3-5-1-1

16

D. von Ballmoos G

6

A. Papadopoulos D

17

L. Mai D

3

H. Delcroix D

2

B. Karimov M

27

Daniel Dos Santos M

8

A. Grgić M

25

U. Bislimi M

21

Y. Cimignani M

22

B. Castro M

30

D. Moncada F

Bench (9)

9 A. Ajeti

23 G. Ajdin

18 J. Bichsel

26 Martim Marques

46 M. Zanotti

28 F. Gebhardt

4 D. Kelvin

14 A. Kendouci

44 João Victor Schlickmann Carbone

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H

3,64

🔒

Bet365 3,80 Betfair 3,75 Pinnacle 3,73 Betano 3,70 1xBet 3,64 Marathonbet 3,64 BetVictor 3,60 William Hill 3,50 SBO 3,48

U

3,70

🔒

Pinnacle 3,97 Betfair 3,75 1xBet 3,72 Marathonbet 3,72 Betano 3,70 BetVictor 3,60 William Hill 3,60 Bet365 3,50 SBO 3,39

B ✓

1,90

🔒

Pinnacle 1,94 Bet365 1,91 William Hill 1,91 SBO 1,90 1xBet 1,90 Betano 1,88 Marathonbet 1,88 Betfair 1,87 BetVictor 1,87

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,20

🔒

U1,5

4,00

🔒

O2,5 ✓

1,71

🔒

U2,5

2,10

🔒

O3,5 ✓

2,72

🔒

U3,5

1,40

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

1,62

🔒

BLS nei ✓

2,15

🔒

Recent matches

13. Sep SL 1 week ago

5. Sep SL 2 weeks ago

2. Sep SL 3 weeks ago

29. Aug SL 3 weeks ago

22. Aug SL 1 month ago

Referee

Urs Schnyder · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,2 / match

Below average

⚽ Free kicks

27,9 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,43 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.