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Eredivisie

Referee: Joey Kooij

Feyenoord

S U S T S

5–0

Full-time

Utrecht

T U T U S

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

5,3

5,0

Scored

3,3

1,8

Conceded

2,0

3,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

4,5

5,0

Scored

3,3

1,8

Conceded

1,2

3,2

Goal diff per game

+2,2

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

57% Possession 43%

23 Shots 6

12 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 3

11 Free kicks against 23

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Feyenoord 3. · Utrecht 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	6	5	1	0	+15	+9.1	16
2	AZ Alkmaar	6	5	1	0	+11	+7.1	16
3	Feyenoord	6	4	2	0	+13	+7.8	14
4	Ajax	7	4	2	1	+12	+2.6	14
5	Twente	6	4	1	1	+7	+4.9	13
6	For Sittard	7	4	1	2	-1	-6.5	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	+6	+2.4	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	+2	-1.9	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	6	2	3	1	+2	-1.2	9
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	+2	-2.6	9
11	Nijmegen	6	2	1	3	-1	+1.5	7
12	Telstar	6	1	2	3	-6	-1.5	5
13	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	-7	-1.9	5
14	Utrecht	6	1	2	3	-8	-3.0	5
15	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	-9	-6.1	5
16	Zwolle	7	1	1	5	-14	-1.6	4
17	Den Haag	7	0	2	5	-10	-6.2	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	-14	-2.9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Twente	3	3	0	0	+5	+1.4	9
2	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	1	0	+7	+4.6	7
3	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+5	+2.4	7
4	Go Ahead Eagles	3	2	1	0	+5	+0.9	7
5	Groningen	4	2	1	1	+3	-0.8	7
6	Ajax	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.6	5
7	Heerenveen	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.7	4
8	Excelsior	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.4	3
9	For Sittard	3	1	0	2	-4	-4.5	3
10	Cambuur	4	1	0	3	-7	-5.6	3
11	Feyenoord	2	0	2	0	+0	+3.6	2
12	Sparta Rotterdam	4	0	2	2	-5	-2.7	2
13	Nijmegen	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.0	1
14	Den Haag	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.3	1
15	Telstar	3	0	1	2	-6	-1.0	1
16	Willem II	4	0	1	3	-7	-1.9	1
17	Utrecht	3	0	1	2	-8	-3.9	1
18	Zwolle	3	0	0	3	-11	-0.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+13	+4.2	12
2	For Sittard	4	3	1	0	+3	-2.0	10
3	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+10	+2.0	9
4	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+8	+4.5	9
5	AZ Alkmaar	3	3	0	0	+6	+4.7	9
6	Excelsior	4	2	2	0	+7	+3.8	8
7	Nijmegen	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.5	6
8	Heerenveen	3	1	2	0	+4	-1.0	5
9	Twente	3	1	1	1	+2	+3.5	4
10	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.9	4
11	Telstar	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.5	4
12	Groningen	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.1	4
13	Zwolle	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.7	4
14	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.9	3
15	Cambuur	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.5	2
16	Go Ahead Eagles	3	0	2	1	-3	-2.1	2
17	Den Haag	4	0	1	3	-6	-4.0	1
18	Willem II	3	0	1	2	-7	-0.9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Feb -26 Utrecht – Feyenoord 0–1 5. Oct -25 Feyenoord – Utrecht 3–2 12. Jan -25 Feyenoord – Utrecht 1–2 27. Oct -24 Utrecht – Feyenoord 0–2 31. Mar -24 Feyenoord – Utrecht 4–2

Match report

Feyenoord Utrecht

1–0 Anis Hadj Moussa ⚽

Givairo Read

6′

2–0 Nacho Ferri ⚽

Mika Mármol

9′

31′

🔁 Joris van Overeem

↦ Artem Stepanov

3–0 Anis Hadj Moussa ⚽

33′

45′

🔁 Yoann Cathline

↦ Ángel Alarcón

45′

🔁 Marius Broholm

↦ Davy Van Den Berg

45′

🔁 S. van Duijn

↦ Adrian Blake

Half-time 4–0

4–0 Luciano Valente ⚽

53′

Javi López 🔁

↦ Mika Mármol

61′

Gaoussou Kyassou Diarra 🔁

↦ Nacho Ferri

61′

62′

🟨 Marius Broholm

5–0 Gaoussou Kyassou Diarra ⚽

Gjivai Zechiel

64′

Tobias van den Elshout 🔁

↦ Gjivai Zechiel

67′

Sem Steijn 🔁

↦ Charles Vanhoutte

67′

69′

🔁 Jakov Medic

↦ Matisse Didden

Javi López 🟨

70′

Gaoussou Kyassou Diarra 🟨

73′

Reiss Nelson 🔁

↦ Oussama Targhalline

78′

80′

🟨 Nikolas Panagiotou

Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3

T. Ernst G

G. Read D

J. St. Juste D

T. Watanabe D

Mika Màrmol D

O. Targhalline M

C. Vanhoutte M

G. Zechiël M

A. Hadj-Moussa F

Nacho Ferri F

L. Valente F

Bench (12)

20 M. Deijl

39 L. Bossin

27 G. Diarra

33 F. Kastenmeier

24 T. Kraaijeveld

16 Javi López

17 R. Nelson

14 S. Steijn

22 T. van den Elshout

36 J. Zinhagel

32 T. Wessels

57 Jerayno Schaken

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Utrecht

3-4-3

V. Barkas G

S. Horemans D

M. Didden D

N. Panagiotou D

N. Vesterlund M

D. de Wit M

D. van den Berg M

A. Zagré M

Ángel Alarcón F

Artem Stepanov F

A. Blake F

Bench (12)

8 J. van Overeem

17 S. van Duijn

53 F. Pohl

22 S. Padt

21 N. Ogidi Nwankwo

6 G. Offerhaus

18 J. Medić

33 K. Gadellaa

47 E. C. Owen

10 Y. Cathline

39 N. Amrabat

80 M. Broholm

Coach: A. Correia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

1,27

🔒

Betano 1,32 1xBet 1,29 Pinnacle 1,29 Bet365 1,28 Marathonbet 1,27 SBO 1,25 Betfair 1,25 BetVictor 1,25 William Hill 1,25

6,00

🔒

Betano 6,40 1xBet 6,29 Pinnacle 6,23 Betfair 6,00 BetVictor 6,00 SBO 5,80 Marathonbet 5,80 Bet365 5,75 William Hill 5,50

9,17

🔒

1xBet 9,50 Bet365 9,50 Betfair 9,50 BetVictor 9,50 Pinnacle 9,17 Betano 9,00 Marathonbet 8,70 William Hill 8,50 SBO 7,62

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,07

🔒

U1,5

8,00

🔒

O2,5 ✓

1,29

🔒

U2,5

3,40

🔒

O3,5 ✓

1,79

🔒

U3,5

2,05

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

1,55

🔒

BLS nei ✓

2,28

🔒

Recent matches

13. Sep ED 1 week ago

5. Sep ED 2 weeks ago

30. Aug ED 3 weeks ago

23. Aug ED 4 weeks ago

Referee

Joey Kooij · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

3,7 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

24,5 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Recent head-to-head meetings

Match report

Line-ups

Feyenoord

Utrecht

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee