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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Daniel Stefanski
Piast Gliwice
U S S S S
1–2
Full-time
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Piast Gliwice Pogon Szczecin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 8/7 matches
Win Ø 47%
50%
43%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
50%
29%
Both score Ø 41%
38%
43%
Average goals
3,5
2,1
Scored
1,9
1,4
Conceded
1,6
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

68% Possession 32%
12 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Piast Gliwice 7. · Pogon Szczecin 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Gornik Zabrze 9 7 1 1 +8 +2.3 22
2 Wisla 9 5 2 2 +5 +4.5 17
3 Legia 8 4 4 0 +9 +4.6 16
4 Lech Poznan 7 5 1 1 +6 +6.4 16
5 Zaglebie 8 4 3 1 +3 -0.2 15
6 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 +2 -3.6 15
7 Piast Gliwice 8 4 1 3 +2 -4.8 13
8 Pogon Szczecin 7 3 3 1 +5 -1.1 12
9 GKS Katowice 8 4 0 4 +3 -1.3 12
10 Jagiellonia 7 4 0 3 +1 +1.9 12
11 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 +0 -0.2 9
12 Cracovia 9 2 2 5 -5 +3.2 8
13 Wisla Plock 7 2 2 3 -5 -0.9 8
14 Radomiak Radom 8 2 2 4 -9 -2.4 8
15 Slask Wroclaw 9 1 3 5 -4 -0.1 6
16 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 -6 -1.0 6
17 Wieczysta Krakow 8 1 2 5 -6 -0.9 5
18 Rakow 9 1 0 8 -9 -6.5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Piast Gliwice Pogon Szczecin
26′
Jordi Sánchez 0–1
Kellyn Acosta
1–1 Samuel Ntamack Ndimba
Jakub Lewicki
31′
Half-time 1–1
Leandro Mário Baldé Sanca 🟨
48′
57′
Darko Churlinov 1–2
Paul Omo Mukairu
Jason Lokilo 🔁
↦ Ivan Lima
61′
71′
🔁 Jan Bieganski
↦ Kellyn Acosta
Andreas Katsantonis 🔁
↦ Samuel Ntamack Ndimba
73′
Oskar·Lesniak 🔁
↦ Jakub Labojko
73′
82′
🔁 Musa Juwara
↦ Darko Churlinov
83′
🔁 Hussein Ali
↦ Alessandro Riccio
83′
🔁 Attila Szalai
↦ Paul Omo Mukairu
Levis Pitan 🔁
↦ Jakub Czerwiński
83′
Jorge Félix 🔁
↦ Hugo Vallejo
83′
Jakub Lewicki 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Piast Gliwice

4-4-2
75 D. Gril G
99 E. Twumasi M
5 Juande Rivas D
4 J. Czerwiński D
36 J. Lewicki D
90 Ivan Lima F
17 Q. Boisgard M
27 J. Łabojko M
80 Hugo Vallejo F
19 S. Ntamack Ndimba F
11 Leandro Sanca F
Bench (11)
98 J. Lokilo
47 J. Grelich
10 A. Katsantonis
31 O. Leśniak
18 O. Maziarz
12 Marcel Mendes-Dudziński
77 S. Mucha
7 Jorge Félix
15 L. Pitan
28 F. Borowski
91 J. Aronggear

Coach: D. Myśliwiec

Pogon Szczecin

4-2-3-1
77 V. Cojocaru G
4 A. Riccio D
13 D. Keramitsis D
29 L. Willen D
23 B. Mendy D
16 P. Dziczek M
3 K. Acosta M
21 D. Churlinov F
35 M. Wojciechowski M
18 P. Mukairu F
22 Jordi Sánchez F
Bench (9)
15 Hussein Ali
6 J. Biegański
30 J. Czaplinski
98 M. Dabrowski
11 K. Grosicki
7 M. Juwara
47 N. Lawa
17 J. Nsame
41 A. Szalai

Coach: Óscar García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
U
3,45
B ✓
2,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,20
U1,5
4,33
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,15
O3,5
2,62
U3,5 ✓
1,44
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,53
BLS nei
2,30

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.