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LaLiga2
Referee: Morilla Turrion
Sabadell
U U S S T
3–1
Full-time
Oviedo
U T S U S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sabadell Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
1,7
1,3
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
20%
20%
Both score Ø 10%
20%
0%
Average goals
1,6
1,0
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

44% Possession 56%
16 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sabadell 13. · Oviedo 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Castellon 6 5 1 0 +10 +0.4 16
2 Eibar 6 5 0 1 +8 +1.4 15
3 Mallorca 6 4 1 1 +6 +2.5 13
4 Girona 6 3 1 2 +4 +0.9 10
5 Las Palmas 5 3 1 1 +1 -1.8 10
6 Sp Gijon 6 3 1 2 +1 -1.0 10
7 Tenerife 6 3 1 2 -1 -0.8 10
8 Almeria 5 3 0 2 +4 -1.3 9
9 Oviedo 5 2 2 1 +3 +3.1 8
10 Burgos 5 2 2 1 +2 -0.8 8
11 Sociedad B 6 2 2 2 +1 -2.0 8
12 Granada 5 2 2 1 +1 +0.1 8
13 Sabadell 5 2 2 1 +0 +3.5 8
14 Leganes 5 2 2 1 +0 -2.0 8
15 Celta B 5 2 1 2 -1 -2.2 7
16 Cordoba 6 2 0 4 -4 +1.0 6
17 Eldense 6 1 2 3 -4 -1.9 5
18 Valladolid 5 1 1 3 -5 -1.6 4
19 Cadiz 6 0 3 3 -3 +2.4 3
20 Andorra 6 1 0 5 -4 +4.6 3
21 Albacete 6 0 1 5 -6 +0.4 1
22 Ceuta 5 0 0 5 -13 -5.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sabadell Oviedo
1–0 Gastón Joaquín Valles Velázquez
Joel Priego
23′
2–0 Óscar Sanz
Ton Ripoll
44′
45′
🔁 Estanis Pedrola
↦ Aisar Ahmed
45′
🔁 Mikel Goti Lopez
↦ Alexandru Mihai Isfan
45′
🔁 Chris Ramos
↦ Youness Lachhab Didi
Half-time 2–0
Nikolay Obolskiy 🔁
↦ Gastón Joaquín Valles Velázquez
58′
65′
🟨 Daniel Villahermosa
67′
Alberto Reina 2–1
Ángel Baena 🔁
↦ Miki Codina
70′
Javi López-Pinto 🔁
↦ Joel Priego
70′
Eneko Aguilar 🔁
↦ José Luis Català
70′
70′
🔁 Samuel Rodríguez de la Riva
↦ Juan Cruz
Ton Ripoll 🟨
71′
3–1 Ángel Baena
Quadri Liameed
78′
Pipa 🔁
↦ Ton Ripoll
80′
80′
🔁 Enzo Pérez Miranda
↦ Daniel Villahermosa
84′
🟨 Carlos Dominguez
Nikolay Obolskiy 🟨
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Sabadell

4-4-2
1 Diego Fuoli G
14 Óscar Sanz D
27 José Luis Català D
6 Edgar González D
4 Miki Codina D
7 Ton Ripoll M
20 Urri M
8 Pere Pons M
22 Q. Liameed M
23 J. Priego F
12 Gastón Valles F
Bench (11)
10 Ángel Baena
11 Javi López
30 Xavier Moreno Hernández
24 Eneko Aguilar
9 N. Obolskiy
13 J. Ortega
29 P. Nuamah
19 Y. Rahmani
21 Alain Ribeiro
25 Marc Vidal
2 Pipa

Coach: Ferran Costa

Oviedo

4-5-1
13 Aarón Escandell G
2 Aisar D
12 Dani Calvo D
23 Carlos Domínguez D
3 Juan Cruz D
20 Pablo Sáenz M
16 Aritz Aldasoro M
6 Dani Villahermosa M
5 Y. Didi M
10 Alberto Reina M
24 A. Ișfan F
Bench (12)
4 David Costas
30 Marco Esteban
18 V. Mingo
11 Jacobo González
8 Mikel Goti
21 David Jiménez
28 D. Menendez
17 Estanis
32 Enzo Perez
9 Chris Ramos
15 S. Rodriguez
1 Miguel Narváez

Coach: Julián Calero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,15
U
3,00
B
3,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,53
U1,5
2,49
O2,5 ✓
2,55
U2,5
1,51
O3,5 ✓
5,20
U3,5
1,13
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
2,05
BLS nei
1,68

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.