Eredivisie
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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AZ Alkmaar
Telstar
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Feyenoord
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +18 | +7.8 | 17 |
| 2 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +15 | +9.1 | 16 |
| 3 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | +7.1 | 16 |
| 4 |
Ajax
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +12 | +2.6 | 14 |
| 5 |
Twente
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | +4.9 | 13 |
| 6 |
For Sittard
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -6.5 | 13 |
| 7 |
Excelsior
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +6 | +2.4 | 11 |
| 8 |
Groningen
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | -1.9 | 11 |
| 9 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | -1.2 | 9 |
| 10 |
Heerenveen
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | -2.6 | 9 |
| 11 |
Nijmegen
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +1.5 | 7 |
| 12 |
Telstar
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | -1.5 | 5 |
| 13 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | -1.9 | 5 |
| 14 |
Cambuur
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | -6.1 | 5 |
| 15 |
Utrecht
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -13 | -3.0 | 5 |
| 16 |
Zwolle
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -14 | -1.6 | 4 |
| 17 |
Den Haag
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -10 | -6.2 | 2 |
| 18 |
Willem II
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -14 | -2.9 | 2 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. De Busser
G
E. Dijkstra
D
W. Goes
D
L. Schouten
D
M. Chávez
D
P. Koopmeiners
M
D. Kwakman
M
C. Stengs
M
V. Byskov
M
R. Daal
M
M. Meerdink
F
Coach: L. Echteld
R. Koeman
G
S. Valk
D
A. Soualhia
D
M. Peersman
D
Gerald Alders
M
T. Owusu
M
N. Rossen
M
J. Hardeveld
M
Rui Mendes
M
P. Brouwer
M
Jelani Seedorf
F
Coach: H. Brugge
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sunderland
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Go Ahead Eagles
For Sittard
AZ Alkmaar
Sander van der Eijk · 25 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.