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Serie B

Referee: Simone Galipo

Mantova

S S T U S

2–2

Full-time

Pisa

T S S T T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mantova Pisa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

75%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%

14 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mantova 3. · Pisa 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	+5	+1.0	13
2	Sudtirol	5	3	2	0	+6	-1.3	11
3	Mantova	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.1	10
4	Ascoli	5	3	1	1	+3	-1.9	10
5	Verona	5	2	1	2	+3	+2.5	7
6	Modena	4	2	1	1	+3	+0.7	7
7	Avellino	5	2	1	2	+1	-0.6	7
8	Cesena	5	1	4	0	+1	+0.3	7
9	Benevento	5	2	1	2	+1	+1.2	7
10	Padova	5	2	1	2	-1	-1.1	7
11	Pisa	4	2	0	2	+0	+1.3	6
12	Empoli	4	2	0	2	-1	-0.6	6
13	Arezzo	5	2	0	3	-7	-0.0	6
14	Virtus Entella	5	1	2	2	+1	-0.2	5
15	Cremonese	5	1	2	2	-2	-0.5	5
16	Vicenza	5	1	2	2	-3	-0.2	5
17	Juve Stabia	5	1	2	2	-3	-0.7	5
18	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	-4	+0.0	4
19	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	-4	-1.0	3
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	-4	-0.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Palermo	3	3	0	0	+4	+0.2	9
2	Ascoli	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.1	7
3	Sudtirol	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.4	7
4	Verona	3	2	0	1	+5	+1.8	6
5	Mantova	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.8	6
6	Avellino	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.6	4
7	Benevento	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.2	4
8	Vicenza	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.0	4
9	Padova	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.7	4
10	Cremonese	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.3	4
11	Catanzaro	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
12	Cesena	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.5	3
13	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
14	Empoli	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.2	3
15	Pisa	3	1	0	2	-3	+1.3	3
16	Virtus Entella	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
17	Juve Stabia	2	0	1	1	-3	–	1
18	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
19	Carrarese	3	0	0	3	-3	-0.3	0
20	Arezzo	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Modena	3	2	1	0	+4	+0.7	7
2	Arezzo	3	2	0	1	-3	+0.8	6
3	Sudtirol	2	1	1	0	+3	-1.7	4
4	Virtus Entella	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.4	4
5	Palermo	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.8	4
6	Cesena	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.2	4
7	Mantova	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
8	Juve Stabia	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.7	4
9	Pisa	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
10	Ascoli	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.8	3
11	Benevento	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
12	Avellino	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
13	Empoli	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.8	3
14	Padova	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.4	3
15	Cremonese	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
16	Carrarese	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.1	1
17	Verona	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.7	1
18	Vicenza	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.2	1
19	Sampdoria	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.5	1
20	Catanzaro	4	0	0	4	-5	-1.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Mar -25 Pisa – Mantova 3–1 7. Dec -24 Mantova – Pisa 2–3

Match report

Mantova Pisa

1–0 Ettore Gliozzi ⚽

Lorenzo Ignacchiti

8′

38′

⚽ Filippo Pittarello 1–1

Stefano Moreo

43′

🟨 Antonio Caracciolo

Half-time 1–1

Alessio Castellini 🟨

53′

Jonathan Silva Pertinhes 🟨

54′

Davide Bragantini 🔁

↦ Francesco Ruocco

55′

Ismael Cajazzo 🔁

↦ Rares Ilie

55′

57′

⚽ Stefano Moreo 1–2

Simone Zanon

Vanja Vlahovic 🔁

↦ Ettore Gliozzi

64′

65′

🔁 Isak Vural

↦ Giuseppe Leone

70′

🔁 Andrea Petagna

↦ Stefano Moreo

70′

🔁 Emanuele Rao

↦ Matteo Tramoni

Francesco Modesto 🟥

71′

Federico Chinetti 🔁

↦ Jonathan Silva Pertinhes

80′

Jean-Pierre Longonda Itamba Mboyo 🔁

↦ Lorenzo Ignacchiti

80′

🔁 Arturo Calabresi

↦ Andrea Primasso

80′

🔁 Tomás Esteves

↦ Simone Zanon

83′

ℹ️ Emanuele Rao

VAR: Goal cancelled

87′

🟨 Alessandro Confente

89′

🟨 Arturo Calabresi

Ismael Cajazzo 🟨

89′

Stefano Cella 🟨

90′

2–2 Vanja Vlahovic ⚽

Davide Bragantini

93′

Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Mantova

3-4-2-1

F. Bardi G

B. Tomašević D

S. Cella D

A. Castellini D

Jonathan Silva M

L. Ignacchiti M

R. Kouda M

F. Benaissa-Yahia M

R. Ilie M

F. Ruocco M

E. Gliozzi F

Bench (12)

18 S. Keita

6 J. Mboyo

30 D. Bragantini

75 E. Košpo

20 F. Paoletti

7 M. Spinaccè

99 V. Vlahović

10 D. Wieser

1 L. Gemello

58 Tommaso Del Lungo

71 Federico Chinetti

11 I. Cajazzo

Coach: F. Modesto

Pisa

3-4-2-1

A. Confente G

A. Primasso D

A. Caracciolo D

S. Canestrelli D

S. Zanon M

G. Leone M

O. Correia M

S. Angori M

S. Moreo M

M. Tramoni M

F. Pittarello F

Bench (12)

33 A. Calabresi

26 F. Coppola

44 D. Denoon

11 I. Ferrah

22 L. Loria

14 F. Loyola

37 A. Petagna

36 G. Piccinini

17 E. Rao

1 S. Scuffet

21 İ. Vural

19 Tomás Esteves

Coach: P. Bianco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

2,65

🔒

Pinnacle 2,76 Betano 2,72 William Hill 2,70 1xBet 2,65 Marathonbet 2,65 Betfair 2,63 Bet365 2,62 SBO 2,58 BetVictor 2,55

U ✓

3,22

🔒

Pinnacle 3,31 Betano 3,25 BetVictor 3,25 1xBet 3,22 Marathonbet 3,22 Bet365 3,20 Betfair 3,10 William Hill 3,10 SBO 3,08

2,58

🔒

Pinnacle 2,72 Betano 2,67 Betfair 2,63 Bet365 2,62 1xBet 2,58 Marathonbet 2,58 BetVictor 2,55 SBO 2,51 William Hill 2,50

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,29

🔒

U1,5

3,40

🔒

O2,5 ✓

1,95

🔒

U2,5

1,87

🔒

O3,5 ✓

3,25

🔒

U3,5

1,30

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

1,67

🔒

BLS nei

2,06

🔒

Recent matches

13. Sep SB 1 week ago

6. Sep SB 2 weeks ago

3. Sep CI 2 weeks ago

30. Aug SB 3 weeks ago

22. Aug SB 4 weeks ago

Referee

Simone Galipo · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

5,7 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

31,5 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Recent head-to-head meetings

Match report

Line-ups

Mantova

Pisa

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee