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Allsvenskan
Referee: Oscar Johnson
Djurgarden
S S S S S
1–2
Full-time
Elfsborg
S U S T S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Djurgarden Elfsborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
3,2
2,0
Conceded
0,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 53%
62%
43%
Points per game
2,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
38%
62%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
2,2
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
9 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Djurgarden 2. · Elfsborg 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 +24 +10.7 51
2 Djurgarden 21 13 2 6 +27 +4.7 41
3 Hammarby 21 12 4 5 +28 +20.8 40
4 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 -1 -1.3 35
5 Elfsborg 21 9 7 5 +8 +0.2 34
6 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 +4 +3.9 33
7 Hacken 21 8 9 4 +4 +9.1 33
8 AIK 21 9 6 6 -2 -12.6 33
9 Goteborg 22 9 5 8 -10 +2.1 32
10 GAIS 21 7 6 8 +5 +4.6 27
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 -6 -6.3 27
12 Mjallby 21 5 7 9 -8 -0.6 22
13 Kalmar 21 5 4 12 -10 +0.6 19
14 Degerfors 21 5 4 12 -14 -10.6 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 -24 -11.2 15
16 Halmstad 21 2 5 14 -25 -13.9 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Djurgarden Elfsborg
Daniel Stensson 🟨
39′
44′
Rasmus Wikström 0–1
Oskar Fallenius 🔁
↦ Patric Aslund
45′
Half-time 0–1
A. Abdulmalik 🔁
↦ Jeppe Okkels
60′
Max Larsson 🔁
↦ Piotr Johansson
60′
1–1 Jacob Une Larsson
Kristian Stromland Lien
66′
75′
🔁 Ari Sigurpalsson
↦ Leo Hakan Ostman
Peter Langhoff 🔁
↦ Daniel Stensson
75′
76′
Simon Olsson 1–2
Alexander Jensen
Charlie Rosenquist 🔁
↦ Bo Åsulv Hegland
78′
84′
🔁 Ossian nordvall
↦ Arbër Zeneli
89′
🟨 Björn Hamberg
89′
🔁 Simon Hedlund
↦ Julius Beck
89′
🔁 Viggo Elfstrom
↦ Simon Olsson
Alexander Johansson 🔁
↦ Miro Tenho
97′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Djurgarden

4-2-3-1
35 J. Rinne G
18 A. Ståhl D
5 M. Tenho D
4 J. Une-Larsson D
2 P. Johansson D
13 D. Stensson M
20 M. Siltanen M
8 P. Åslund M
16 Bo Åsulv Hegland M
19 J. Okkels M
9 K. Lien F
Bench (9)
28 A. Andersson
11 O. Fallenius
29 A. Johansson
6 P. Langhoff
24 M. Larsson
21 M. Marques
14 C. Rosenquist
30 Lukas Henrik Jonsson
10 A. Abdulmalik

Coach: Jani Honkavaara

Elfsborg

4-2-3-1
31 I. Pettersson G
16 A. Jensen D
6 R. Wikström D
4 T. Isherwood D
23 N. Hult D
18 J. Magnússon M
10 S. Olsson M
29 M. Kamara M
19 J. Beck M
9 A. Zeneli M
21 L. Östman F
Bench (8)
25 A. Sigurpálsson
5 O. Nordvall
22 D. Krasniqi
15 S. Hedlund
3 J. Esenga
2 Viggo Elfstrom
27 Oladimeji Oluwatimilehin Abdulmuiz
12 T. Sander

Coach: Björn Hamberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,50
U
4,20
B ✓
5,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,17
U1,5
4,60
O2,5 ✓
1,60
U2,5
2,31
O3,5
2,45
U3,5 ✓
1,51
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,67
BLS nei
2,07

Referee

Oscar Johnson · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.