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La Liga

Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer

Villarreal

T T T T S

3–1

Full-time

Levante

T U S U T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Levante

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,7

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 19%

17%

20%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

83%

60%

Both score Ø 62%

83%

40%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,4

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%

21 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 16. · Levante 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+24	+14.3	21
2	Ath Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	+3.3	16
3	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+10	+10.4	15
4	Betis	6	5	0	1	+2	+0.3	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+1	-0.6	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	+5	+3.1	11
7	La Coruna	6	2	3	1	+2	-1.6	9
8	Ath Bilbao	6	2	2	2	+1	-1.1	8
9	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-3	-3.2	8
10	Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	-5.0	8
11	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	-7	-0.6	8
12	Celta	7	1	4	2	+2	-2.6	7
13	Espanol	7	2	1	4	+0	-1.5	7
14	Sociedad	6	2	1	3	-5	-3.2	7
15	Santander	7	2	1	4	-10	-2.8	7
16	Villarreal	6	1	2	3	-1	+0.6	5
17	Levante	5	1	2	2	-2	-0.0	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	-6	-6.3	5
19	Valencia	6	1	1	4	-8	-0.1	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	-9	-3.3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+7	+1.5	10
2	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+10	+10.5	9
3	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+10	+5.9	9
4	Alaves	4	3	0	1	+6	+1.5	9
5	Betis	3	3	0	0	+3	-0.1	9
6	Getafe	4	2	2	0	+2	-0.5	8
7	Santander	3	2	1	0	+2	+1.9	7
8	Vallecano	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.6	7
9	Sevilla	4	2	0	2	-2	+0.3	6
10	Ath Bilbao	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.8	5
11	Osasuna	4	1	2	1	-1	+0.4	5
12	Celta	4	1	1	2	+2	-3.0	4
13	La Coruna	3	1	1	1	+1	-0.9	4
14	Espanol	4	1	1	2	+0	-0.4	4
15	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	-2	-0.7	4
16	Levante	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.7	3
17	Malaga	3	0	2	1	-2	+0.8	2
18	Valencia	3	0	1	2	-6	+0.3	1
19	Villarreal	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.6	0
20	Elche	3	0	0	3	-7	-6.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+14	+3.8	12
2	Sevilla	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.8	7
3	Ath Madrid	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.8	6
4	Real Madrid	4	2	0	2	+0	+4.5	6
5	Betis	3	2	0	1	-1	+0.4	6
6	Elche	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.2	5
7	Villarreal	4	1	2	1	+1	+2.2	5
8	La Coruna	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.7	5
9	Espanol	3	1	0	2	+0	-1.1	3
10	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.0	3
11	Celta	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.5	3
12	Valencia	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.4	3
13	Sociedad	3	1	0	2	-3	-2.4	3
14	Osasuna	3	1	0	2	-6	-1.0	3
15	Alaves	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.6	2
16	Levante	3	0	2	1	-3	-0.7	2
17	Vallecano	4	0	1	3	-7	-3.5	1
18	Malaga	4	0	1	3	-7	-4.1	1
19	Getafe	3	0	0	3	-5	-2.7	0
20	Santander	4	0	0	4	-12	-4.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.