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Super League
Referee: Konstantinos Katikos
Panetolikos
T S S S T
1–3
Full-time
PAOK
T S T S S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panetolikos PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 4/5 matches
Win Ø 78%
75%
80%
Points per game
2,3
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
60%
Both score Ø 33%
25%
40%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

56% Possession 44%
2 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 22
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panetolikos 6. · PAOK 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 5 5 0 0 +10 +1.8 15
2 AEK 6 4 2 0 +15 +4.1 14
3 PAOK 5 4 0 1 +7 +0.2 12
4 OFI Crete 6 3 1 2 +3 -0.4 10
5 Olympiakos 5 3 1 1 +2 +5.0 10
6 Panetolikos 4 3 0 1 +3 +0.8 9
7 Aris Thessalonikis 5 2 1 2 -5 -1.4 7
8 Iraklis 5 1 3 1 -2 -2.4 6
9 Aris 4 2 0 2 -5 6
10 Kifisia 5 1 2 2 -3 +1.1 5
11 Kalamata 6 1 1 4 -3 -2.5 4
12 Atromitos 5 0 2 3 -3 -3.4 2
13 Volos NFC 5 0 2 3 -5 -1.0 2
14 Asteras Tripolis 5 0 2 3 -5 -0.2 2
15 Levadeiakos 5 0 1 4 -9 -1.7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panetolikos PAOK
Gustav Granath 🟨
30′
33′
Taha Ali 0–1
Kristijan Jakić
39′
Cherif Ndiaye 0–2
Abdul Rahman Baba
Konstantinos Thymianis 🟨
40′
Christian Manrique 🔁
↦ Apostolos Apostolopoulos
45′
Diego Esteban 🔁
↦ Lazar Kojić
45′
Half-time 0–2
48′
🔁 Shola Shoretire
↦ Taha Ali
1–2 Diego Esteban
51′
Salifou Soumah 🔁
↦ Moussa Djenepo
64′
Kosta Aleksic 🔁
↦ Kwadwo Opoku
64′
Marvelous Nakamba 🟨
65′
Yannis Anastasiou 🟨
70′
73′
🔁 Antonis Tsiftsis
↦ Jiří Pavlenka
73′
🔁 Dimitris Bataoulas
↦ Aritz Elustondo
73′
🔁 Ognjen ugresic
↦ Dimitrios Pelkas
Diego Esteban 🟨
81′
Mateo Mejia 🔁
↦ Marvelous Nakamba
86′
86′
🔁 Baptiste Santamaria
↦ Christos Zafeiris
89′
🟨 Kristijan Jakić
95′
🟨 Abdul Rahman Baba
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Panetolikos

4-2-3-1

Coach: Y. Anastasiou

PAOK

1 J. Pavlenka G
3 J. Kenny D
6 Elustondo D
5 G. Michailidis D
21 A. Baba D
20 C. Zafeiris M
18 K. Jakić M
14 A. Živković M
10 D. Pelkas M
22 T. Ali M
27 C. Ndiaye F
Bench (12)
24 S. Banza
16 O. Ugresić
99 A. Tsiftsis
32 G. Taylor
47 S. Shoretire
7 B. Santamaría
56 A. Mythou
41 D. Monastirlis
78 G. Kosidis
52 D. Chatsidis
2 M. Camara
97 D. Bataoulas

Coach: A. Lisci

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,50
U
4,10
B ✓
1,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,25
U1,5
3,75
O2,5 ✓
1,80
U2,5
2,00
O3,5 ✓
3,00
U3,5
1,36
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,86
BLS nei
1,84

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.